# CAME: Company-Aware Evidence-Memory Experts for Interpretable Quarter-Ahead Revenue Forecasting

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.33143 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.33143/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 14 of its 35 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 27 Sep 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 14 of 14)

- [The Llama 3 Herd of Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.21783/) (2024)
- [Retrieval-Augmented Generation for Knowledge-Intensive NLP Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.11401/) (2020)
- [Qwen3 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.09388/) (2025)
- [XGBoost: A Scalable Tree Boosting System](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1603.02754/) (2016)
- [A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.14730/) (2022)
- [Temporal Fusion Transformers for Interpretable Multi-horizon Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.09363/) (2019)
- [Chronos: Learning the Language of Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.07815/) (2024)
- [FinQA: A Dataset of Numerical Reasoning over Financial Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.00122/) (2021)
- [TAT-QA: A Question Answering Benchmark on a Hybrid of Tabular and Textual Content in Finance](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.07624/) (2021)
- [FinBERT: Financial Sentiment Analysis with Pre-trained Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1908.10063/) (2019)
- [ConvFinQA: Exploring the Chain of Numerical Reasoning in Conversational Finance Question Answering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.03849/) (2022)
- [DocFinQA: A Long-Context Financial Reasoning Dataset](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.06915/) (2024)
- [Harnessing Earnings Reports for Stock Predictions: A QLoRA-Enhanced LLM Approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.06634/) (2024)
- [Zero is Not Hero Yet: Benchmarking Zero-Shot Performance of LLMs for Financial Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.16633/) (2023)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Quarter-ahead revenue forecasting requires company-scale numerical accuracy, strict temporal validity, and company-specific interpretation of narrative disclosures. LLMs can distill textual evidence but can produce scale-misaligned forecasts, whereas history-based anchors are stable but miss forecast-time signals such as product transitions, supply constraints, and management guidance. We introduce CAME (Company-Aware Evidence-Memory Experts), a residual-forecasting framework that refines a no-leakage statistical anchor when current semantic evidence and prior error patterns justify an adjustment. On a development-inclusive rolling backtest of 336 company-quarters from 12 large public technology and platform firms, CAME achieves the lowest aggregate point-estimate error among the reported methods, with statistically supported macro-sMAPE gains over the matched Statistical Anchor, and outperforms History + Guidance on all six aggregate metrics. CAME also links adjustments to source-linked evidence cards and guarded memory traces, supporting forecast inspection, provenance, and failure localization.