# Typed Decision Models: An Early Evidence Audit and Evaluation Checklist

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.32160 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.32160/

## Key facts

- Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 76 of its 94 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 26 Sep 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 76)

- [Language Models are Few-Shot Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.14165/) (2020)
- [Training language models to follow instructions with human feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.02155/) (2022)
- [On Calibration of Modern Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.04599/) (2017)
- [G-Eval: NLG Evaluation using GPT-4 with Better Human Alignment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.16634/) (2023)
- [Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Know](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.05221/) (2022)
- [Calibrate Before Use: Improving Few-Shot Performance of Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.09690/) (2021)
- [Qwen3 Embedding: Advancing Text Embedding and Reranking Through Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.05176/) (2025)
- [Making Pre-trained Language Models Better Few-shot Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.15723/) (2020)
- [Can LLMs Express Their Uncertainty? An Empirical Evaluation of Confidence Elicitation in LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.13063/) (2023)
- [Exploiting Cloze Questions for Few Shot Text Classification and Natural Language Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.07676/) (2020)
- [FrugalGPT: How to Use Large Language Models While Reducing Cost and Improving Performance](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.05176/) (2023)
- [Selective Classification for Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.08500/) (2017)
- [Just Ask for Calibration: Strategies for Eliciting Calibrated Confidence Scores from Language Models Fine-Tuned with Human Feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.14975/) (2023)
- [It's Not Just Size That Matters: Small Language Models Are Also Few-Shot Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.07118/) (2020)
- [Prometheus: Inducing Fine-grained Evaluation Capability in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.08491/) (2023)
- [Large Language Models Are Not Robust Multiple Choice Selectors](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.03882/) (2023)
- [Generative Verifiers: Reward Modeling as Next-Token Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.15240/) (2024)
- [PICARD: Parsing Incrementally for Constrained Auto-Regressive Decoding from Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.05093/) (2021)
- [Document Ranking with a Pretrained Sequence-to-Sequence Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.06713/) (2020)
- [JudgeBench: A Benchmark for Evaluating LLM-based Judges](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.12784/) (2024)
- [Benchmarking Zero-shot Text Classification: Datasets, Evaluation and Entailment Approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.00161/) (2019)
- [Consistent Estimators for Learning to Defer to an Expert](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.01862/) (2020)
- [Surface Form Competition: Why the Highest Probability Answer Isn't Always Right](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.08315/) (2021)
- [Large Language Models Sensitivity to The Order of Options in Multiple-Choice Questions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.11483/) (2023)
- [Selective Question Answering under Domain Shift](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.09462/) (2020)
- [Predict Responsibly: Improving Fairness and Accuracy by Learning to Defer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.06664/) (2017)
- [Leveraging Large Language Models for Multiple Choice Question Answering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.12353/) (2022)
- [Efficient Guided Generation for Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.09702/) (2023)
- [Grammar-Constrained Decoding for Structured NLP Tasks without Finetuning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.13971/) (2023)
- [RM-Bench: Benchmarking Reward Models of Language Models with Subtlety and Style](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.16184/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 3 of 3)

- [Labels Override Definitions in Jev-Style Typed Decision Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.02586/) (2026)
- [SanSi: A Looped Typed Decision Model for System 1.5 Thinking](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.07730/) (2026)
- [StartLux-Decision: AutoThink Decision Models with Reinforcement Learning for Calibrated Deliberative Decisions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.17309/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Typed decision models (TDMs) return probability distributions over caller-defined options without generating text. TypeSafe released Jev, a commercial typed decision model, on 15 September 2026, and a small body of evaluation and replication work appeared within days. We review 28 papers posted between 19 and 24 September and relate their findings to earlier work on label-probability classification, constrained decoding, reranking, calibration, and model cascades. In this early literature, the typed readout itself has not shown an independent accuracy advantage over comparable label-probability readouts. Jev's clearest gains are in latency and cost, while accuracy gaps remain on harder tasks. In practical deployments, confidence is often used to decide when to defer to a stronger model or a human. We use recurring weaknesses in these studies to derive a 14-item evaluation checklist for future TDM work. Because the evidence covers only the first nine days after the release of one hosted model, the review should be read as an early evidence map rather than a settled assessment of the model class.