# Screen Before You Serve: Simulation for Production Customer Experience AI Agents at 140M Scale

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.30137 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.30137/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Financial trading and forecasting agents, one of 16 directions in LLM agents and tool use.
- Builds on 28 of its 39 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 24 Sep 2026.

## Placed in

- LLM agents and tool use / [Financial trading and forecasting agents](https://mlsanity.com/agents/financial-trading-and-forecasting-agents/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 28 of 28)

- [ReAct: Synergizing Reasoning and Acting in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.03629/) (2022)
- [DeepSeek-R1: Incentivizing Reasoning Capability in LLMs via Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.12948/) (2025)
- [Toolformer: Language Models Can Teach Themselves to Use Tools](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.04761/) (2023)
- [Generative Agents: Interactive Simulacra of Human Behavior](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.03442/) (2023)
- [UMAP: Uniform Manifold Approximation and Projection for Dimension Reduction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.03426/) (2018)
- [ToolLLM: Facilitating Large Language Models to Master 16000+ Real-world APIs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.16789/) (2023)
- [τ-bench: A Benchmark for Tool-Agent-User Interaction in Real-World Domains](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.12045/) (2024)
- [τ2-Bench: Evaluating Conversational Agents in a Dual-Control Environment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.07982/) (2025)
- [GEPA: Reflective Prompt Evolution Can Outperform Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.19457/) (2025)
- [Scaling Synthetic Data Creation with 1,000,000,000 Personas](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.20094/) (2024)
- [Agentic Misalignment: How LLMs Could Be Insider Threats](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.05179/) (2025)
- [The PRISM Alignment Dataset: What Participatory, Representative and Individualised Human Feedback Reveals About the Subjective and Multicultural Alignment of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.16019/) (2024)
- [UserBench: An Interactive Gym Environment for User-Centric Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.22034/) (2025)
- [OpenAgentSafety: A Comprehensive Framework for Evaluating Real-World AI Agent Safety](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.06134/) (2025)
- [Flipping the Dialogue: Training and Evaluating User Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.06552/) (2025)
- [SimulatorArena: Are User Simulators Reliable Proxies for Multi-Turn Evaluation of AI Assistants?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.05444/) (2025)
- [CRMArena-Pro: Holistic Assessment of LLM Agents Across Diverse Business Scenarios and Interactions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.18878/) (2025)
- [Nemotron 3 Super: Open, Efficient Mixture-of-Experts Hybrid Mamba-Transformer Model for Agentic Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.12374/) (2026)
- [User Simulation for Evaluating Information Access Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.08550/) (2023)
- [How Reliable is Your Simulator? Analysis on the Limitations of Current LLM-based User Simulators for Conversational Recommendation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.16416/) (2024)
- [Goal Alignment in LLM-Based User Simulators for Conversational AI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.20152/) (2025)
- [LLM-Friendly Knowledge Representation for Customer Support](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.10331/) (2025)
- [RealUserSim: Bridging the Reality Gap in Agent Benchmarking via Grounded User Simulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.20204/) (2026)
- [LLMs Get Lost in Evolving User Intent](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.20734/) (2026)
- [MatrAIx: Simulating the World with 8.3 Billion Persona Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.04205/) (2026)
- [A Practical Approach for Building Production-Grade Conversational Agents with Workflow Graphs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.23006/) (2025)
- [ROGUE: Evaluating Corrigibility Failures in Frontier Computer-Use Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.00341/) (2026)
- [Building Customer Support AI Agents at 100M-User Scale: An Evaluation-Driven Framework](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.08867/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Customer experience (CX) agents use tools and large language models to address customer requests and guide conversational interactions with an organization's products. Improving these agents, especially in regulated industries, is difficult: they must detect intent, follow complex operational policies and use tools reliably. Manual end-to-end testing offers limited coverage, while live experiments expose customers to failures that can erode trust. We present a hypothesis-driven simulation workflow for screening candidate CX agents before deployment. Synthetic customers react to agent responses and simulated tool outputs enable multi-step agentic workflows without invoking production backends. We use the Snowglobe simulator on Nubank's Card Delivery agent and its expanded successor, Card Management - Nubank's highest-volume chat-support agent in Brazil. Across 4 deployed versions, simulated and production version-level binary evaluator scores show high correlation. Simulation-guided iteration increased transactional net promoter score (tNPS) by 36.69 points in a live A/B test. We also screened open-weight configurations in over 16,000 simulated conversations. In a subsequent live A/B test, the selected model increased self-service rate (SSR) by 8.82 percentage points to the highest level observed at Nubank, with no statistically significant change in tNPS. Simulation made broad exploration of models, reasoning settings, and prompts feasible without customer exposure, enabling production improvements that would have been impractical to pursue through live experimentation alone.
