# Segment-Level Risk Discovery in Online Handwriting for Alzheimer's Disease Detection

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.29384 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.29384/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 4 of its 38 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 24 Sep 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 4 of 4)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [Mamba: Linear-Time Sequence Modeling with Selective State Spaces](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.00752/) (2023)
- [Efficiently Modeling Long Sequences with Structured State Spaces](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.00396/) (2021)
- [PaAno: Patch-Based Representation Learning for Time-Series Anomaly Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.01359/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Online handwriting provides a non-invasive and low-cost behavioral biomarker for Alzheimer's disease (AD) detection, as it reflects both cognitive planning and fine motor control. Existing handwriting-based AD detection methods usually rely on global trajectory features or whole-sample representations, which can be strongly affected by individual writing style, task-specific variation, and acquisition noise. In this paper, we propose NormPaST-Risk, a healthy-normative Paper-Air selective trajectory state-space risk network for interpretable AD detection from online handwriting. Instead of treating the entire trajectory as a single holistic representation, our method reformulates AD handwriting detection as local disease-relevant segment discovery. Specifically, a multi-scale temporal encoder captures stroke dynamics at different temporal resolutions, while a selective Paper-Air state-space encoder models long-range handwriting progression and distinguishes on-paper motor execution from in-air planning and transition behaviors. To explicitly characterize abnormal deviations, a healthy normative branch learns normal handwriting dynamics from healthy controls, and a task-aware multi-expert segment-risk module estimates segment-level AD risk calibrated by hidden-state changes and normative deviations. A weakly supervised segment-level objective further enables high-risk segment discovery without manual segment annotations. Experiments on the DARWIN benchmark demonstrate that the proposed framework achieves superior AD/HC classification performance compared with existing methods. Moreover, the discovered high-risk segments can be projected back to the original handwriting trajectory, providing interpretable evidence associated with AD-related handwriting variations.