# Predicting Quantization Price for Selecting PTQ Configurations Before Deployment

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.28270 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.28270/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 51 of its 55 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 23 Sep 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 51)

- [Qwen3 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.09388/) (2025)
- [OPT: Open Pre-trained Transformer Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.01068/) (2022)
- [TruthfulQA: Measuring How Models Mimic Human Falsehoods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.07958/) (2021)
- [PIQA: Reasoning about Physical Commonsense in Natural Language](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.11641/) (2019)
- [BoolQ: Exploring the Surprising Difficulty of Natural Yes/No Questions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.10044/) (2019)
- [GPTQ: Accurate Post-Training Quantization for Generative Pre-trained Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.17323/) (2022)
- [SmoothQuant: Accurate and Efficient Post-Training Quantization for Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.10438/) (2022)
- [LLM.int8(): 8-bit Matrix Multiplication for Transformers at Scale](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.07339/) (2022)
- [KIVI: A Tuning-Free Asymmetric 2bit Quantization for KV Cache](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.02750/) (2024)
- [QuaRot: Outlier-Free 4-Bit Inference in Rotated LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.00456/) (2024)
- [Up or Down? Adaptive Rounding for Post-Training Quantization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.10568/) (2020)
- [KVQuant: Towards 10 Million Context Length LLM Inference with KV Cache Quantization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.18079/) (2024)
- [BRECQ: Pushing the Limit of Post-Training Quantization by Block Reconstruction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.05426/) (2021)
- [SpinQuant: LLM quantization with learned rotations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.16406/) (2024)
- [OmniQuant: Omnidirectionally Calibrated Quantization for Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.13137/) (2023)
- [QuIP: 2-Bit Quantization of Large Language Models With Guarantees](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.13304/) (2023)
- [HAWQ: Hessian AWare Quantization of Neural Networks with Mixed-Precision](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.03696/) (2019)
- [QuIP#: Even Better LLM Quantization with Hadamard Incoherence and Lattice Codebooks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.04396/) (2024)
- [WiC: the Word-in-Context Dataset for Evaluating Context-Sensitive Meaning Representations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1808.09121/) (2018)
- [SpQR: A Sparse-Quantized Representation for Near-Lossless LLM Weight Compression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.03078/) (2023)
- [Optimal Brain Compression: A Framework for Accurate Post-Training Quantization and Pruning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.11580/) (2022)
- [SqueezeLLM: Dense-and-Sparse Quantization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.07629/) (2023)
- [Atom: Low-bit Quantization for Efficient and Accurate LLM Serving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.19102/) (2023)
- [HAWQ-V2: Hessian Aware trace-Weighted Quantization of Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.03852/) (2019)
- [Extreme Compression of Large Language Models via Additive Quantization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.06118/) (2024)
- [QServe: W4A8KV4 Quantization and System Co-design for Efficient LLM Serving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.04532/) (2024)
- [Outlier Suppression: Pushing the Limit of Low-bit Transformer Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.13325/) (2022)
- [FlatQuant: Flatness Matters for LLM Quantization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.09426/) (2024)
- [QTIP: Quantization with Trellises and Incoherence Processing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.11235/) (2024)
- [GPTVQ: The Blessing of Dimensionality for LLM Quantization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.15319/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Weight-space post-training quantization (PTQ) must choose finite formats, granularities, quantizer families, transformations, and bits before the completed quantized model reveals its output-distribution drift. Existing PTQ methods predict important pieces of this degradation, including reconstruction error, Hessian sensitivity, transformation effects, and downstream loss, but these pieces are usually scored after fixing the quantization geometry or inside separate configuration families. We formulate weight-space PTQ as pre-deployment configuration selection using priced layer-output error. Each admissible layer configuration is treated as an error generator with a deployment cost, which induces a layer-output error covariance boldsymbolSigmal(αl), and the full-precision model prices that covariance by downstream curvature, widehatρl(αl)=frac12operatornameTrleft(widehatHl,widehatboldsymbolSigmal(αl)right). The price follows from full-precision-to-quantized forward KL, whose first-order term cancels at the reference model. It turns reconstruction and diagonal scores into reduced proxies that drop price factors, while finite formats, codebooks, granularities, and equivalent transformations become comparable candidates through the covariances they induce and the costs they pay. A trace reduction then yields a calibration-time price table and a budgeted price-guided selector, making fixed-geometry bit allocation a special case rather than the organizing problem.