# Agent-based Modeling: Equilibrium, Echo Chambers, and Efficiency in Hybrid Coevolutionary Opinion Games

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.27639 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.27639/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Social simulation and multi-agent debate, one of 16 directions in LLM agents and tool use.
- Builds on 34 of its 62 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 23 Sep 2026.

## Placed in

- LLM agents and tool use / [Social simulation and multi-agent debate](https://mlsanity.com/agents/social-simulation-and-multi-agent-debate/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 34)

- [RoBERTa: A Robustly Optimized BERT Pretraining Approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.11692/) (2019)
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- [Efficient Memory Management for Large Language Model Serving with PagedAttention](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.06180/) (2023)
- [Generative Agents: Interactive Simulacra of Human Behavior](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.03442/) (2023)
- [UMAP: Uniform Manifold Approximation and Projection for Dimension Reduction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.03426/) (2018)
- [AWQ: Activation-aware Weight Quantization for LLM Compression and Acceleration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.00978/) (2023)
- [Language Models Don't Always Say What They Think: Unfaithful Explanations in Chain-of-Thought Prompting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.04388/) (2023)
- [Phi-4 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.08905/) (2024)
- [The Pushshift Reddit Dataset](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.08435/) (2020)
- [AgentSociety: Large-Scale Simulation of LLM-Driven Generative Agents Advances Understanding of Human Behaviors and Society](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.08691/) (2025)
- [Simulating Opinion Dynamics with Networks of LLM-based Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.09618/) (2023)
- [OASIS: Open Agent Social Interaction Simulations with One Million Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.11581/) (2024)
- [Cooperate or Collapse: Emergence of Sustainable Cooperation in a Society of LLM Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.16698/) (2024)
- [Best-Worst Scaling More Reliable than Rating Scales: A Case Study on Sentiment Intensity Annotation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1712.01765/) (2017)
- [Unveiling the Truth and Facilitating Change: Towards Agent-based Large-scale Social Movement Simulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.16333/) (2024)
- [A Large-scale Dataset for Argument Quality Ranking: Construction and Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.11408/) (2019)
- [Decoding Echo Chambers: LLM-Powered Simulations Revealing Polarization in Social Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.19338/) (2024)
- [Engagement, User Satisfaction, and the Amplification of Divisive Content on Social Media](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.16941/) (2023)
- [Emergence of polarization in networks of large language model agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.05171/) (2025)
- [DELTACON: A Principled Massive-Graph Similarity Function](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1304.4657/) (2013)
- [Minimizing Polarization and Disagreement in Social Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1712.09948/) (2017)
- [LLMs Reproduce Human Purchase Intent via Semantic Similarity Elicitation of Likert Ratings](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.08338/) (2025)
- [Social Opinions Prediction Utilizes Fusing Dynamics Equation with LLM-based Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.08717/) (2024)
- [Large Language Model Driven Agents for Simulating Echo Chamber Formation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.18138/) (2025)
- [Bluesky: Network Topology, Polarization, and Algorithmic Curation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.17571/) (2024)
- [Bounds on the Price of Anarchy for a More General Class of Directed Graphs in Opinion Formation Games](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1602.02527/) (2016)
- [Navigating the Post-API Dilemma | Search Engine Results Pages Present a Biased View of Social Media Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.15479/) (2024)
- [Exploring the Effects of Alignment on Numerical Bias in Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.16444/) (2026)
- [Competing LLM Agents in a Non-Cooperative Game of Opinion Polarisation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.11649/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Opinion formation in online networks involves changes in both beliefs and social ties. Analytical models make it possible to study equilibrium and social cost, but usually represent communication as a fixed numerical update. LLM-driven agents offer a language-based alternative, yet their convergence and collective efficiency remain unclear. We develop the Hybrid Coevolutionary Opinion Game (H-COG), combining cost-minimizing Friedkin-Johnsen agents (Type-C) and Phi-4 language agents (Type-L) in a dynamically rewired K-nearest-neighbor network. We initialize 50 agents with opinions drawn from 5,199 Reddit comments on gun control and abortion. The comments are scored on a continuous [-1,+1] scale using a fine-tuned RoBERTa regressor, and a mixing parameter sets the proportion of each agent type. The experiments cover nine population compositions, three initial network topologies, and two topics. All 540 runs meet the convergence criterion within the simulation horizon. Under Type-L updating, the coevolving network reaches an attractor as reliably as it does under the analytical update rule, making an equilibrium-based efficiency comparison possible. The pooled Price of Anarchy is 5.558 ± 0.309 for purely Type-L populations, compared with 1.139 ± 0.005 for purely Type-C populations. A decomposition of social cost attributes most of this gap to language agents moving away from their intrinsic opinions, rather than to greater disagreement with their neighbors. The main findings are consistent across the three initial network topologies.
