# RheoSampling: Resolving the One-Hot Dilemma in Stochastic Dynamic-Tree Speculative Decoding

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.21827 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.21827/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Speculative decoding, one of 12 directions in Efficient LLM inference and serving.
- Builds on 15 of its 22 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 18 Sep 2026.

## Placed in

- Efficient LLM inference and serving / [Speculative decoding](https://mlsanity.com/inference/speculative-decoding/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 15 of 15)

- [The Llama 3 Herd of Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.21783/) (2024)
- [Training Verifiers to Solve Math Word Problems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.14168/) (2021)
- [Evaluating Large Language Models Trained on Code](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.03374/) (2021)
- [Fast Inference from Transformers via Speculative Decoding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.17192/) (2022)
- [Accelerating Large Language Model Decoding with Speculative Sampling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.01318/) (2023)
- [OpenAI GPT-5 System Card](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.03267/) (2025)
- [Medusa: Simple LLM Inference Acceleration Framework with Multiple Decoding Heads](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.10774/) (2024)
- [Abstractive Text Summarization Using Sequence-to-Sequence RNNs and Beyond](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1602.06023/) (2016)
- [EAGLE: Speculative Sampling Requires Rethinking Feature Uncertainty](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.15077/) (2024)
- [EAGLE-2: Faster Inference of Language Models with Dynamic Draft Trees](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.16858/) (2024)
- [SpecInfer: Accelerating Generative Large Language Model Serving with Tree-based Speculative Inference and Verification](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.09781/) (2023)
- [EAGLE-3: Scaling up Inference Acceleration of Large Language Models via Training-Time Test](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.01840/) (2025)
- [OPT-Tree: Speculative Decoding with Adaptive Draft Tree Structure](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.17276/) (2024)
- [Towards Optimal Multi-draft Speculative Decoding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.18779/) (2025)
- [SpecHub: Provable Acceleration to Multi-Draft Speculative Decoding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.05289/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Tsubame: Tree Replay for Diffusion-Based Speculative Decoding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.33652/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Speculative decoding accelerates LLM inference by drafting multiple tokens in parallel, with tree-based methods further improving efficiency through hierarchical structures. Dynamic-tree methods such as EAGLE-3 perform well under greedy decoding via deterministic top-K expansion and global pruning. However, in stochastic decoding (T>0), this mechanism collapses the draft distribution into one-hot probabilities, causing a severe drop in acceptance rate. This creates a dilemma: dynamic-tree methods sacrifice stochastic sampling to preserve context-aware topology, while static-tree methods preserve stochastic sampling with context-agnostic structures. The issue arises because the same probability distribution is used for two conflicting tasks: constructing the tree and verifying tokens. This coupling makes direct injection of randomness challenging due to the resulting stochastic process. We resolve this by decoupling these roles: RheoSampling assigns a token sampled from the draft distribution a proxy probability for tree expansion and pruning alongside its true sampling probability for verification. Specifically, we inject a sampled token among the deterministic top-K slots and treat it with different probabilities during construction and verification, making RheoSampling the first dynamic-tree method with both context-aware top-K construction and stochastic sampling while maintaining losslessness. We establish the lossless guarantee through an equivalence-class analysis that compresses the stochastic tree space into tractable classes. An OT-based verification strategy and a sparse draft mechanism ensure that theoretical gains translate into practical efficiency. Experiments across LLMs and benchmarks demonstrate improvements in acceptance rate and speedup over state-of-the-art dynamic tree methods. This framework may provide a template for analyzing stochastic tree structures.