# JEPA Guided Diffusion: Predictive Vision-Language Conditioning for Generative Traffic Forecasting

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.21379 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.21379/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Video generation, one of 14 directions in Diffusion models.
- Builds on 20 of its 24 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 18 Sep 2026.

## Placed in

- Diffusion models / [Video generation](https://mlsanity.com/diffusion/video-generation/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 20 of 20)

- [BLIP-2: Bootstrapping Language-Image Pre-training with Frozen Image Encoders and Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.12597/) (2023)
- [Qwen3-VL Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.21631/) (2025)
- [CogVideoX: Text-to-Video Diffusion Models with An Expert Transformer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.06072/) (2024)
- [Self-Supervised Learning from Images with a Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.08243/) (2023)
- [V-JEPA 2: Self-Supervised Video Models Enable Understanding, Prediction and Planning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.09985/) (2025)
- [GAIA-1: A Generative World Model for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.17080/) (2023)
- [Revisiting Feature Prediction for Learning Visual Representations from Video](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.08471/) (2024)
- [VideoPoet: A Large Language Model for Zero-Shot Video Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.14125/) (2023)
- [Universal Style Transfer via Feature Transforms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.08086/) (2017)
- [Vista: A Generalizable Driving World Model with High Fidelity and Versatile Controllability](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.17398/) (2024)
- [Driving into the Future: Multiview Visual Forecasting and Planning with World Model for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.17918/) (2023)
- [DriveDreamer-2: LLM-Enhanced World Models for Diverse Driving Video Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.06845/) (2024)
- [GAIA-2: A Controllable Multi-View Generative World Model for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.20523/) (2025)
- [Epona: Autoregressive Diffusion World Model for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.24113/) (2025)
- [V-JEPA 2.1: Unlocking Dense Features in Video Self-Supervised Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.14482/) (2026)
- [WoVoGen: World Volume-aware Diffusion for Controllable Multi-camera Driving Scene Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.02934/) (2023)
- [DrivingWorld: Constructing World Model for Autonomous Driving via Video GPT](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.19505/) (2024)
- [WTS: A Pedestrian-Centric Traffic Video Dataset for Fine-grained Spatial-Temporal Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.15350/) (2024)
- [Exploring the Interplay Between Video Generation and World Models in Autonomous Driving: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.02914/) (2024)
- [MAD: Motion Appearance Decoupling for efficient Driving World Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.09452/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Accurate traffic forecasting requires both understanding scene dynamics and synthesizing realistic future observations. Recent diffusion-based video generation models produce visually plausible predictions but require expensive end-to-end training and often entangle scene understanding with image synthesis. In this work, we propose a decoupled forecasting framework that separates future representation learning from video generation. A frozen V-JEPA encoder first extracts predictive latent representations from the observed traffic videos, capturing the underlying scene dynamics in a semantic latent space. A lightweight latent alignment module then projects these representations into the conditioning space of a frozen Cosmos diffusion module, enabling future video synthesis without retraining the large generative model. By freezing all foundation models and training only the lightweight alignment module, the proposed framework substantially reduces optimization complexity while preserving forecasting capability. Experimental results on the AI City Challenge 2026 Track 5 benchmark demonstrate that the proposed method achieved a score of 75.1297, ranking third in the competition. These results suggest that predictive world representations learned by V-JEPA can effectively guide downstream video generation, providing a practical and efficient alternative to end-to-end diffusion-based forecasting.
