# Learning Foresight without Explicit Trajectories for 3D Diffusion Policies

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.20669 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.20669/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Diffusion and flow policies for robotics, one of 14 directions in Diffusion models.
- Builds on 31 of its 35 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 17 Sep 2026.

## Placed in

- Diffusion models / [Diffusion and flow policies for robotics](https://mlsanity.com/diffusion/diffusion-and-flow-policies-for-robotics/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 31)

- [Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.11239/) (2020)
- [Classifier-Free Diffusion Guidance](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.12598/) (2022)
- [Adding Conditional Control to Text-to-Image Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.05543/) (2023)
- [PointNet: Deep Learning on Point Sets for 3D Classification and Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1612.00593/) (2016)
- [PointNet++: Deep Hierarchical Feature Learning on Point Sets in a Metric Space](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.02413/) (2017)
- [RT-2: Vision-Language-Action Models Transfer Web Knowledge to Robotic Control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.15818/) (2023)
- [OpenVLA: An Open-Source Vision-Language-Action Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.09246/) (2024)
- [Diffusion Policy: Visuomotor Policy Learning via Action Diffusion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.04137/) (2023)
- [π0: A Vision-Language-Action Flow Model for General Robot Control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.24164/) (2024)
- [Learning Fine-Grained Bimanual Manipulation with Low-Cost Hardware](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.13705/) (2023)
- [Point Transformer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.00931/) (2020)
- [LIBERO: Benchmarking Knowledge Transfer for Lifelong Robot Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.03310/) (2023)
- [Planning with Diffusion for Flexible Behavior Synthesis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.09991/) (2022)
- [Open X-Embodiment: Robotic Learning Datasets and RT-X Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.08864/) (2023)
- [Perceiver-Actor: A Multi-Task Transformer for Robotic Manipulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.05451/) (2022)
- [RoboTwin 2.0: A Scalable Data Generator and Benchmark with Strong Domain Randomization for Robust Bimanual Robotic Manipulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.18088/) (2025)
- [Causal World Modeling for Robot Control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.21998/) (2026)
- [Behavior Transformers: Cloning k modes with one stone](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.11251/) (2022)
- [3D Diffuser Actor: Policy Diffusion with 3D Scene Representations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.10885/) (2024)
- [RVT: Robotic View Transformer for 3D Object Manipulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.14896/) (2023)
- [Behavior Generation with Latent Actions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.03181/) (2024)
- [Act3D: 3D Feature Field Transformers for Multi-Task Robotic Manipulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.17817/) (2023)
- [π0.7: a Steerable Generalist Robotic Foundation Model with Emergent Capabilities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.15483/) (2026)
- [RVT-2: Learning Precise Manipulation from Few Demonstrations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.08545/) (2024)
- [FLARE: Robot Learning with Implicit World Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.15659/) (2025)
- [GNFactor: Multi-Task Real Robot Learning with Generalizable Neural Feature Fields](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.16891/) (2023)
- [DexArt: Benchmarking Generalizable Dexterous Manipulation with Articulated Objects](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.05706/) (2023)
- [ManiCM: Real-time 3D Diffusion Policy via Consistency Model for Robotic Manipulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.01586/) (2024)
- [Diffusion Trajectory-guided Policy for Long-horizon Robot Manipulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.10040/) (2025)
- [ForeDiffusion: Foresight-Conditioned Diffusion Policy via Future View Construction for Robot Manipulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.12925/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

3D diffusion policies are strong at generating geometrically grounded actions from current observations, but successful manipulation requires not only knowing what motion is feasible now, but also anticipating where the interaction is heading. Existing policies largely leave such foresight to emerge implicitly from action learning. We introduce Movement Trend Guidance, a simple but effective way to provide this foresight without introducing an explicit plan. From a short observation history, the policy learns a compact latent representation of interaction evolution. During training, sparse future gripper states supervise this representation; at inference, only the latent is retained as future-oriented conditioning alongside the current observation. The latent provides global conditioning for action generation, while an additional gated FiLM branch is used only at the UNet bottleneck. Despite adding only 3.52% more parameters to DP3, our method preserves the original dense-action and receding-horizon formulation and consistently improves upon DP3 across RoboTwin2.0, LIBERO-40, and DexArt. It reaches 62.8% vs. 56.1% in 50-task RoboTwin2.0 mixed training, 71.93% vs. 37.08% on LIBERO-40, and 72.0% vs. 49.0% on five real-robot tasks. These results show that a diffusion policy can benefit substantially from knowing where an interaction is heading, without being told exactly where to move.