# To Copy or Not to Copy: Controlling Speculative Decoding via Intrinsic Model Signals

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.20186 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.20186/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Speculative decoding, one of 12 directions in Efficient LLM inference and serving.
- Builds on 22 of its 25 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 17 Sep 2026.

## Placed in

- Efficient LLM inference and serving / [Speculative decoding](https://mlsanity.com/inference/speculative-decoding/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 22 of 22)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [The Llama 3 Herd of Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.21783/) (2024)
- [Qwen3 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.09388/) (2025)
- [Evaluating Large Language Models Trained on Code](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.03374/) (2021)
- [Measuring Mathematical Problem Solving With the MATH Dataset](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.03874/) (2021)
- [Large Language Models are Zero-Shot Reasoners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.11916/) (2022)
- [Scaling LLM Test-Time Compute Optimally can be More Effective than Scaling Model Parameters](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.03314/) (2024)
- [Fast Inference from Transformers via Speculative Decoding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.17192/) (2022)
- [Get To The Point: Summarization with Pointer-Generator Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1704.04368/) (2017)
- [Teaching Machines to Read and Comprehend](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.03340/) (2015)
- [Accelerating Large Language Model Decoding with Speculative Sampling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.01318/) (2023)
- [The Linear Representation Hypothesis and the Geometry of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.03658/) (2023)
- [EAGLE: Speculative Sampling Requires Rethinking Feature Uncertainty](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.15077/) (2024)
- [EAGLE-3: Scaling up Inference Acceleration of Large Language Models via Training-Time Test](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.01840/) (2025)
- [In-Context Learning Creates Task Vectors](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.15916/) (2023)
- [From Decoding to Meta-Generation: Inference-time Algorithms for Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.16838/) (2024)
- [SAM Decoding: Speculative Decoding via Suffix Automaton](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.10666/) (2024)
- [Lookahead: An Inference Acceleration Framework for Large Language Model with Lossless Generation Accuracy](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.12728/) (2023)
- [Overclocking LLM Reasoning: Monitoring and Controlling Thinking Path Lengths in LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.07240/) (2025)
- [BanditSpec: Adaptive Speculative Decoding via Bandit Algorithms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.15141/) (2025)
- [CopySpec: Accelerating LLMs with Speculative Copy-and-Paste Without Compromising Quality](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.08923/) (2025)
- [RASD: Retrieval-Augmented Speculative Decoding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.03434/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [AdaSpark: Adaptive DSpark with Online Learning for Tree Verification and N-gram Fill](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.05774/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Speculative Decoding (SD) has significantly accelerated Large Language Model (LLM) inference, yet existing approaches face a fundamental tradeoff between two drafting strategies: neural drafting and context-based copying. Neural drafts (e.g., EAGLE3) provide robust performance across diverse text settings, while copy-based methods achieve higher speedups in copy-intensive regimes by generating candidates faster and exploiting long repetition spans for near-perfect speculation. We analyze existing copy-based methods and find that they are prone to accidental repetitions where surface-level n-gram overlap does not reflect a structural intent to copy, leading to false-positive triggers that ultimately degrade throughput. We introduce SwitchSD, an adaptive framework that treats copying as a latent control signal of the LLM. By training lightweight probes on the target model's internal representations, SwitchSD identifies genuine copy-intent with high precision (AUC > 0.99). This allows the system to dynamically switch between neural drafting (e.g., EAGLE) and context-based copying. Our results across Llama and Qwen families demonstrate throughput gains of up to 15% over state-of-the-art baselines like EAGLE3, effectively turning copying from a noisy heuristic into a principled, model-aware decoding regime.