# Predict Before You Deploy: Offline Prediction of Quantization-Induced Task Degradation for World Action Models

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.19441 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.19441/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Embodied and robot world models, one of 11 directions in World models.
- Builds on 25 of its 30 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 16 Sep 2026.

## Placed in

- World models / [Embodied and robot world models](https://mlsanity.com/wm/embodied-and-robot-world-models/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 25 of 25)

- [OpenVLA: An Open-Source Vision-Language-Action Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.09246/) (2024)
- [Diffusion Policy: Visuomotor Policy Learning via Action Diffusion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.04137/) (2023)
- [GPTQ: Accurate Post-Training Quantization for Generative Pre-trained Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.17323/) (2022)
- [Octo: An Open-Source Generalist Robot Policy](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.12213/) (2024)
- [LIBERO: Benchmarking Knowledge Transfer for Lifelong Robot Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.03310/) (2023)
- [SmoothQuant: Accurate and Efficient Post-Training Quantization for Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.10438/) (2022)
- [AWQ: Activation-aware Weight Quantization for LLM Compression and Acceleration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.00978/) (2023)
- [Selective Classification for Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.08500/) (2017)
- [What Matters in Learning from Offline Human Demonstrations for Robot Manipulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.03298/) (2021)
- [A White Paper on Neural Network Quantization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.08295/) (2021)
- [RoboCasa: Large-Scale Simulation of Everyday Tasks for Generalist Robots](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.02523/) (2024)
- [Fast-WAM: Do World Action Models Need Test-time Future Imagination?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.16666/) (2026)
- [Cosmos Policy: Fine-Tuning Video Models for Visuomotor Control and Planning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.16163/) (2026)
- [Q-Diffusion: Quantizing Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.04304/) (2023)
- [QServe: W4A8KV4 Quantization and System Co-design for Efficient LLM Serving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.04532/) (2024)
- [Unified Video Action Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.00200/) (2025)
- [PTQD: Accurate Post-Training Quantization for Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.10657/) (2023)
- [SVDQuant: Absorbing Outliers by Low-Rank Components for 4-Bit Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.05007/) (2024)
- [mimic-video: Video-Action Models for Generalizable Robot Control Beyond VLAs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.15692/) (2025)
- [ViDiT-Q: Efficient and Accurate Quantization of Diffusion Transformers for Image and Video Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.02540/) (2024)
- [PTQ4DiT: Post-training Quantization for Diffusion Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.16005/) (2024)
- [RynnVLA-002: A Unified Vision-Language-Action and World Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.17502/) (2025)
- [QuantVLA: Scale-Calibrated Post-Training Quantization for Vision-Language-Action Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.20309/) (2026)
- [Saliency-Aware Quantized Imitation Learning for Efficient Robotic Control](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.15304/) (2025)
- [Mix-QVLA: Task-Evidence-Aware Mixed-Precision Quantization of Vision-Language-Action Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.19565/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

World action models (WAMs) rely on video-generation backbones, requiring substantial memory and compute for deployment. Post-training quantization reduces memory and can accelerate inference, but bit width, grouping, and quantizer choice define a large configuration space. Identifying configurations that preserve task performance through exhaustive closed-loop evaluation is costly. We propose PreDE (Predict Before You Deploy), a policy-calibrated framework for predicting quantization-induced task degradation from offline action deviations. Using closed-loop outcomes from a small development set, PreDE calibrates two thresholds and accepts, rejects, or defers new configurations using a fixed observation log. Under a within-setting label-ordering hypothesis, the rule issues decisions where all thresholds consistent with the development labels agree. Across five WAMs and four benchmark settings, quantization produces configuration-dependent task losses that cannot be explained by bit width alone or a shared deviation threshold. Across 28 held-out configurations from two policies, PreDE issued 21 decisions before observing closed-loop outcomes (75% coverage), all matching the observed acceptable or degraded labels. Deferred candidates included both acceptable outcomes and a 33-percentage-point loss. In 450 Franka Research 3 trials across two independently fine-tuned policies, all configurations assigned to high-deviation groups before testing showed significant degradation, while low-deviation comparisons showed no statistically significant degradation. On the real robot, W4A4 achieved a 1.37x action-query speedup and approximately 44% lower peak memory. These results support policy-specific behavioral calibration for quantization configuration selection while identifying candidates that require closed-loop evaluation. The code is available at https://github.com/jiuyixu25/PreDE.