# Calibrate, Then Route: A Measured Study of Learned Request Routing for Disaggregated LLM Serving

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.16206 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.16206/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Serving systems and request scheduling, one of 12 directions in Efficient LLM inference and serving.
- Builds on 18 of its 21 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 14 Sep 2026.

## Placed in

- Efficient LLM inference and serving / [Serving systems and request scheduling](https://mlsanity.com/inference/serving-systems-and-request-scheduling/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 18 of 18)

- [The Llama 3 Herd of Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.21783/) (2024)
- [Efficient Memory Management for Large Language Model Serving with PagedAttention](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.06180/) (2023)
- [FlashAttention: Fast and Memory-Efficient Exact Attention with IO-Awareness](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.14135/) (2022)
- [H2O: Heavy-Hitter Oracle for Efficient Generative Inference of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.14048/) (2023)
- [DistServe: Disaggregating Prefill and Decoding for Goodput-optimized Large Language Model Serving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.09670/) (2024)
- [Splitwise: Efficient generative LLM inference using phase splitting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.18677/) (2023)
- [Taming Throughput-Latency Tradeoff in LLM Inference with Sarathi-Serve](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.02310/) (2024)
- [MLPerf Inference Benchmark](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.02549/) (2019)
- [Mooncake: A KVCache-centric Disaggregated Architecture for LLM Serving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.00079/) (2024)
- [Llumnix: Dynamic Scheduling for Large Language Model Serving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.03243/) (2024)
- [Inference without Interference: Disaggregate LLM Inference for Mixed Downstream Workloads](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.11181/) (2024)
- [Vidur: A Large-Scale Simulation Framework For LLM Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.05465/) (2024)
- [DynamoLLM: Designing LLM Inference Clusters for Performance and Energy Efficiency](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.00741/) (2024)
- [Response Length Perception and Sequence Scheduling: An LLM-Empowered LLM Inference Pipeline](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.13144/) (2023)
- [Efficient LLM Scheduling by Learning to Rank](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.15792/) (2024)
- [LLM Inference Serving: Survey of Recent Advances and Opportunities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.12391/) (2024)
- [AlpaServe: Statistical Multiplexing with Model Parallelism for Deep Learning Serving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.11665/) (2023)
- [LAPS: A Length-Aware-Prefill LLM Serving System](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.11589/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Disaggregated LLM serving places compute heavy prefill and memory heavy decode on separate GPU pools. Systems such as DistServe, Splitwise, and Mooncake make this separation fast, but routing still determines which instances handle each request. We study a router that estimates the additional completion time on each instance using exact prompt length, predicted output length, post admission KV cache pressure, and SLO class. We develop the policy in a discrete event simulator and validate it on eight NVIDIA A40 GPUs, each running a vLLM engine, with NIXL transferring KV caches between pools. All workloads run at measured saturation. Across three mixed, bursty arrival traces, the calibrated router achieves the highest mean goodput at 0.864, compared with 0.835 to 0.847 for round robin, least loaded, and a length heuristic. It also shows the lowest variance across traces. It beats round robin and the length heuristic on all three traces and least loaded on two. On the third, it trails by 0.003, within run to run noise. Hardware calibration matters: simulator derived constants cost 4.5 goodput points and roughly 40 percent of the tail latency advantage, reducing the scorer to little more than queue counting. Benefits grow with decode pool size and traffic heterogeneity but disappear in pools with three instances, where queue counts are often enough. Under extreme scarcity, greedy cost minimization concentrates requests on the cheapest scored instance, and blind spreading performs better. With calibrated costs, the learned router matches the goodput of round robin using six GPUs instead of seven.