# SeqMoE: Toward Full-Load Performance via Predictive and Graph-Compatible MoE Offloading

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.12978 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.12978/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Efficient MoE training and inference systems, one of 12 directions in Mixture-of-experts.
- Builds on 15 of its 44 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 11 Sep 2026.

## Placed in

- Mixture-of-experts / [Efficient MoE training and inference systems](https://mlsanity.com/moe/efficient-moe-training-and-inference-systems/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 15 of 15)

- [Training Verifiers to Solve Math Word Problems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.14168/) (2021)
- [Efficient Memory Management for Large Language Model Serving with PagedAttention](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.06180/) (2023)
- [Sequence to Sequence Learning with Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1409.3215/) (2014)
- [gpt-oss-120b & gpt-oss-20b Model Card](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.10925/) (2025)
- [DeepSeek-V4: Towards Highly Efficient Million-Token Context Intelligence](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.19348/) (2026)
- [Scheduled Sampling for Sequence Prediction with Recurrent Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.03099/) (2015)
- [Taming Throughput-Latency Tradeoff in LLM Inference with Sarathi-Serve](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.02310/) (2024)
- [Pre-gated MoE: An Algorithm-System Co-Design for Fast and Scalable Mixture-of-Expert Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.12066/) (2023)
- [Towards Efficient Generative Large Language Model Serving: A Survey from Algorithms to Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.15234/) (2023)
- [MoE-Infinity: Efficient MoE Inference on Personal Machines with Sparsity-Aware Expert Cache](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.14361/) (2024)
- [A Survey on Inference Optimization Techniques for Mixture of Experts Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.14219/) (2024)
- [ProMoE: Fast MoE-based LLM Serving using Proactive Caching](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.22134/) (2024)
- [Taming Latency-Memory Trade-Off in MoE-Based LLM Serving via Fine-Grained Expert Offloading](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.05370/) (2025)
- [Patterns behind Chaos: Forecasting Data Movement for Efficient Large-Scale MoE LLM Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.05497/) (2025)
- [A Spatio-Temporal Expert Prefetching Framework for Efficient MoE-based LLM Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.15453/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) creates a structural advantage for offloading: only a small fraction of activated experts need to reside in device memory, and if they can be loaded in time for computation, offloading can in principle approach full-load performance, where all model weights reside in device memory. Yet translating MoE's structural advantage into practical offloading gains remains challenging. We propose SeqMoE to bridge this gap. To maximize expert hits, we build predictive memory management: (i) Sequence-to-sequence prediction. We are the first to recast expert activation prediction as sequence modeling, enabling accurate multi-step, multi-layer forecasts that provide a long and reliable window for downstream decisions. (ii) Joint prefetch scheduling. We formulate prefetch scheduling as Job Sequencing with Deadlines to maximize expected expert hits and improve bandwidth efficiency. (iii) Forecast-driven caching. Leveraging the recursive nature of sequence modeling, we introduce a probabilistic Belady policy for future-aware eviction. To eliminate execution bottleneck, we develop (iv) Graph-compatible offloading runtime. We derive general runtime principles encompassing compute-transparent expert placement and synchronization-free orchestration disciplines for end-to-end graph capture. With 45% expert residency, SeqMoE averages a 96.97% hit rate and 80.22% of full-load performance, advancing the state of the art in MoE offloading.