# MotionBlind: Probing the Illusion of Motion Understanding in Video-LLMs

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.09528 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.09528/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Latent predictive world models, one of 11 directions in World models.
- Builds on 16 of its 26 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 8 Sep 2026.

## Placed in

- World models / [Latent predictive world models](https://mlsanity.com/wm/latent-predictive-world-models/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 16 of 16)

- [DeepSeekMath: Pushing the Limits of Mathematical Reasoning in Open Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.03300/) (2024)
- [Qwen2.5-VL Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.13923/) (2025)
- [Qwen3-VL Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.21631/) (2025)
- [World Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.10122/) (2018)
- [Cosmos World Foundation Model Platform for Physical AI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.03575/) (2025)
- [Molmo and PixMo: Open Weights and Open Data for State-of-the-Art Vision-Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.17146/) (2024)
- [Gemma 4 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.02770/) (2026)
- [Cosmos 3: Omnimodal World Models for Physical AI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.02800/) (2026)
- [Eagle 2.5: Boosting Long-Context Post-Training for Frontier Vision-Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.15271/) (2025)
- [Vinoground: Scrutinizing LMMs over Dense Temporal Reasoning with Short Videos](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.02763/) (2024)
- [TimeBlind: A Spatio-Temporal Compositionality Benchmark for Video LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.00288/) (2026)
- [From Frames to Clips: Training-free Adaptive Key Clip Selection for Long-Form Video Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.02262/) (2025)
- [Motion-o: Trajectory-Grounded Video Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.18856/) (2026)
- [Geometry-Guided Camera Motion Understanding in VideoLLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.13119/) (2026)
- [Which Way Did It Move? Diagnosing and Overcoming Directional Motion Blindness in Video-LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.22823/) (2026)
- [HORNet: Task-Guided Frame Selection for Video Question Answering with Vision-Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.18850/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Video large language models (Video-LLMs) are increasingly used as the perceptual front end of world models, a role that assumes they can read motion: how fast something moves, which way it travels, how hard it is pushed. We show they cannot. A Video-LLM can watch two clips of the same person in the same room, name every object in both, and still fail to say which clip moves faster. We introduce MotionBlind, a contrastive benchmark of self-recorded video for physically grounded motion(speed, magnitude, and direction), the variables a world model must predict. Each instance is a pair of near-identical clips that differ only in motion. Each clip carries two complementary yes/no questions, giving four items per instance, and a model earns credit only if all four are correct. We report Instance Accuracy(IAcc), which has a 6.25% chance floor. Single-frame, appearance, and language-only shortcuts all collapse to it. MotionBlind complements the recent TimeBlind benchmark. We run a controlled study of six open and two frontier Video-LLMs, varying whether the video is present, whether frames are shown in the correct temporal order, and how frames are sampled (1 to 24 frames, four selection strategies). Open models sit near the 6.25% floor, and scale does not help. Removing the video drops every model to zero IAcc, and shuffling frames collapses IAcc to chance, so the task genuinely needs video in order. Neither more frames nor smarter frame selection closes the gap, because these change which frames are seen, not whether motion is read. Only Gemini3.1 Pro clears the benchmark overall, and even it fails on speed. A frontend that cannot tell two speeds of the same action apart is not yet a trustworthy source of supervision, reward, or evaluation for a world model.
