# Quantization Amplifies Determinism, Not Bias: Scale-Dependent Behavioral Effects of Serving-Time Weight Compression

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.07901 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.07901/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 10 of its 14 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 7 Sep 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 10 of 10)

- [Qwen3 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.09388/) (2025)
- [Efficient Memory Management for Large Language Model Serving with PagedAttention](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.06180/) (2023)
- [GPTQ: Accurate Post-Training Quantization for Generative Pre-trained Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.17323/) (2022)
- [AWQ: Activation-aware Weight Quantization for LLM Compression and Acceleration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.00978/) (2023)
- [Understanding the Effects of RLHF on LLM Generalisation and Diversity](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.06452/) (2023)
- [The case for 4-bit precision: k-bit Inference Scaling Laws](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.09720/) (2022)
- [FP8 Formats for Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.05433/) (2022)
- [Delving into LLM-assisted writing in biomedical publications through excess vocabulary](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.07016/) (2024)
- [MARLIN: Mixed-Precision Auto-Regressive Parallel Inference on Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.11743/) (2024)
- [Why are all LLMs Obsessed with Japanese Culture? On the Hidden Cultural and Regional Biases of LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.21751/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Weight quantization largely determines the economics of serving open-weight LLMs. Its costs are usually assessed with capability benchmarks, on which 4-bit quantization of mid-sized models is often considered "nearly free." We examine a different question: when several answers are valid, does quantization change what a model chooses to say? We serve three checkpoints (Qwen3-8B/14B/32B) at three weight precisions (W4A16 AWQ, W8A16 FP8-Marlin, and bf16), holding the hardware, software, and sampling configuration constant, and collect approximately 71,000 completions paired by prompt and seed across two custom, leak-checked prompt batteries. We pre-specified the analyses in three waves in version control. At 8B, int4 reduces output diversity: the probability that two samples for the same scenario recommend the same brand increases by 5.1 percentage points (prompt-paired sign-flip test, Holm p = .023; reproduced at +4.4pp on a full regeneration of the arm), and lexical diversity falls substantially (TTR -0.011, standardized effect -0.51; robust to a length-controlled measure). At 14B and 32B, no content-concentration measure reaches significance; instead, stylistic drift emerges (em-dash rate +0.46/1k words at 14B and +0.61/1k at 32B, both Holm p <= .0024). Pre-specified tests of stereotype direction are null at every scale: outputs concentrate on the modal answer for each prompt rather than on stereotypical answers. Mechanistically, the token-level distribution becomes flatter (decision-token entropy +0.091 bits, p = .015) while the semantic distribution, measured directly from first-token log probabilities, becomes more concentrated (collision +2.6pp, p = .023): individual tokens become less predictable even as meanings become more repetitive. At 8B, the smallest size tested, AWQ-int4 serving measurably narrows the range of suggestions; audits should assess concentration as well as bias.