# Measuring GEO Visibility: Prompt Corpora Define the Answer Market

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.06811 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.06811/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 27 of its 44 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 6 Sep 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 27 of 27)

- [Lost in the Middle: How Language Models Use Long Contexts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.03172/) (2023)
- [Datasheets for Datasets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.09010/) (2018)
- [Beyond Accuracy: Behavioral Testing of NLP models with CheckList](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.04118/) (2020)
- [Quantifying Language Models' Sensitivity to Spurious Features in Prompt Design or: How I learned to start worrying about prompt formatting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.11324/) (2023)
- [WildChat: 1M ChatGPT Interaction Logs in the Wild](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.01470/) (2024)
- [Enabling Large Language Models to Generate Text with Citations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.14627/) (2023)
- [LMSYS-Chat-1M: A Large-Scale Real-World LLM Conversation Dataset](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.11998/) (2023)
- [LLMs Get Lost In Multi-Turn Conversation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.06120/) (2025)
- [AI and the Everything in the Whole Wide World Benchmark](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.15366/) (2021)
- [State of What Art? A Call for Multi-Prompt LLM Evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.00595/) (2023)
- [tinyBenchmarks: evaluating LLMs with fewer examples](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.14992/) (2024)
- [Measurement and Fairness](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.05511/) (2019)
- [Measuring Attribution in Natural Language Generation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.12870/) (2021)
- [What Will it Take to Fix Benchmarking in Natural Language Understanding?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.02145/) (2021)
- [Efficient multi-prompt evaluation of LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.17202/) (2024)
- [GEO: Generative Engine Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.09735/) (2023)
- [Search Arena: Analyzing Search-Augmented LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.05334/) (2025)
- [Flaw or Artifact? Rethinking Prompt Sensitivity in Evaluating LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.01790/) (2025)
- [ReliableEval: A Recipe for Stochastic LLM Evaluation via Method of Moments](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.22169/) (2025)
- [Beyond the Singular: Revealing the Value of Multiple Generations in Benchmark Evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.08943/) (2025)
- [SAGEO Arena: A Realistic Environment for Evaluating Search-Augmented Generative Engine Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.12187/) (2026)
- [The Discovery Gap: How Product Hunt Startups Vanish in LLM Organic Discovery Queries](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.00912/) (2026)
- [How Generative AI Disrupts Search: An Empirical Study of Google Search, Gemini, and AI Overviews](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.27790/) (2026)
- [Paraphrase Brittleness in Production Retrieval-Augmented Commercial Recommendation: Reproducibility Below the Rerun-Stability Baseline](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.27440/) (2026)
- [Measuring Google AI Overviews: Activation, Source Quality, Claim Fidelity, and Publisher Impact](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.14021/) (2026)
- [Demand-Side Measurement for Generative Engine Optimization: Constructing and Validating a Million-Persona, Intent-Annotated Buyer Corpus](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.30023/) (2026)
- [The Language of the Question Selects the Market: Query Language and Exit IP as Separable Factors in Commercial Recommendations from a Generative Search Interface](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.30052/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

GEO (generative engine optimization) visibility scores aggregate source appearances, citations, or brand mentions in generated answers. The prompt corpus selects the situations evaluated, while weights determine their relative importance. Together they define an "answer market" that need not represent actual user demand. Prompt wording can alter retrieval, competing sources, and generated answers. Scoring then requires identifying the appearances, citations, or mentions of interest. If a language model performs this task, its instruction can change the score assigned to an unchanged answer. Our critical survey examines how these choices help define what a GEO score measures. It draws on research into whether indicators measure the intended phenomenon, total survey error, and information retrieval evaluation. The framework specifies situation annotation, prompt formulations, execution conditions, weights, and scoring rules. When weights are unknown or remain to be chosen, the framework reports sets of admissible scores. It distinguishes values compatible with data and assumptions about a target population (partial identification) from variation across weighting conventions (normative sensitivity). A citation alone does not establish a source's contribution. The article defines a comparison of answers generated with and without a source in a controlled documentary context, distinct from an intervention on the full engine with competing sources. The framework is supported by reproducible calculations. No new experiments are reported; its general empirical validity remains to be assessed.
