# When Errors Become Memories: Causal Pathway Tracing in Multi-Turn Memory-Augmented LLMs

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.30198 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.30198/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 13 of its 18 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 31 Aug 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 13 of 13)

- [Generative Agents: Interactive Simulacra of Human Behavior](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.03442/) (2023)
- [Locating and Editing Factual Associations in GPT](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.05262/) (2022)
- [LongMemEval: Benchmarking Chat Assistants on Long-Term Interactive Memory](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.10813/) (2024)
- [A Survey on the Memory Mechanism of Large Language Model based Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.13501/) (2024)
- [LLMs Get Lost In Multi-Turn Conversation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.06120/) (2025)
- [Towards Best Practices of Activation Patching in Language Models: Metrics and Methods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.16042/) (2023)
- [How Language Model Hallucinations Can Snowball](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.13534/) (2023)
- [Evaluating Memory in LLM Agents via Incremental Multi-Turn Interactions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.05257/) (2025)
- [How Memory Management Impacts LLM Agents: An Empirical Study of Experience-Following Behavior](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.16067/) (2025)
- [From Untrusted Input to Trusted Memory: A Systematic Study of Memory Poisoning Attacks in LLM Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.04329/) (2026)
- [Useful Memories Become Faulty When Continuously Updated by LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.12978/) (2026)
- [Causal Inference with a Graphical Hierarchy of Interventions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1411.2127/) (2014)
- [MemTrace: Tracing and Attributing Errors in Large Language Model Memory Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.28732/) (2026)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [When Harnesses Lose the Signal: Causal Evaluation of Recovery in LLM Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.00372/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Long-term memory enables large language models (LLMs) to preserve and reuse information across interactions, but it can also turn localized errors into persistent risks. Existing work mainly evaluates whether memory systems store and retrieve information correctly, leaving limited understanding of how errors propagate across responses, memory states, and future interactions. We propose a structural causal model (SCM)-based framework for cross-turn error propagation in memory-augmented LLMs. We model user questions, model responses, and memory states as a dynamic causal process, and identify two entry pathways: internal memory updating and external question feedback. By intervening on these pathways, we construct four counterfactual trajectories and quantify their downstream effects and interaction. Error influence is evaluated at four levels: memory retention, natural responses, targeted diagnostic probing, and probability-level error preference. Experiments show that error influence generally decays with interaction distance, while the memory-update pathway contributes more persistent effects than question feedback; latent errors may remain even after disappearing from natural responses. Propagation patterns also vary across memory categories and memory mechanisms. Pathway-guided restoration further validates this decomposition: Question Repair reduces residual error by 27.5%, Memory Repair by 70.2%, and Joint Repair by 98.3%, nearly eliminating residual propagation.