# Balance of Benchmarks: Semantic Density Reweighting for Task-Conditioned Model Comparison

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.30044 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.30044/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 24 of its 49 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 30 Aug 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 24 of 24)

- [MathVista: Evaluating Mathematical Reasoning of Foundation Models in Visual Contexts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.02255/) (2023)
- [Qwen3 Embedding: Advancing Text Embedding and Reranking Through Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.05176/) (2025)
- [Are We on the Right Way for Evaluating Large Vision-Language Models?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.20330/) (2024)
- [τ2-Bench: Evaluating Conversational Agents in a Dual-Control Environment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.07982/) (2025)
- [Terminal-Bench: Benchmarking Agents on Hard, Realistic Tasks in Command Line Interfaces](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.11868/) (2026)
- [Language Models are Multilingual Chain-of-Thought Reasoners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.03057/) (2022)
- [Humanity's Last Exam](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.14249/) (2025)
- [OCRBench: On the Hidden Mystery of OCR in Large Multimodal Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.07895/) (2023)
- [Generalizing Verifiable Instruction Following](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.02833/) (2025)
- [MuirBench: A Comprehensive Benchmark for Robust Multi-image Understanding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.09411/) (2024)
- [DynaMath: A Dynamic Visual Benchmark for Evaluating Mathematical Reasoning Robustness of Vision Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.00836/) (2024)
- [MultiPL-E: A Scalable and Extensible Approach to Benchmarking Neural Code Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2208.08227/) (2022)
- [Multi-IF: Benchmarking LLMs on Multi-Turn and Multilingual Instructions Following](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.15553/) (2024)
- [The Leaderboard Illusion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.20879/) (2025)
- [PolyMath: Evaluating Mathematical Reasoning in Multilingual Contexts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.18428/) (2025)
- [Do These LLM Benchmarks Agree? Fixing Benchmark Evaluation with BenchBench](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.13696/) (2024)
- [Rethinking Predictive Modeling for LLM Routing: When Simple kNN Beats Complex Learned Routers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.12601/) (2025)
- [Agent psychometrics: Task-level performance prediction in agentic coding benchmarks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.00594/) (2026)
- [Learning Compact Representations of LLM Abilities via Item Response Theory](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.00844/) (2025)
- [Submodular Benchmark Selection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.02209/) (2026)
- [BenchScope: How Many Independent Signals Does Your Benchmark Provide?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.29357/) (2026)
- [Anticipatory Evaluation of Language Models: Predicting LLM Benchmark Scores from Descriptions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.20645/) (2025)
- [Coresets Before Score Sets: Evaluation-Unsupervised Prompt Subset Selection for LLM Benchmarks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.09739/) (2026)
- [Meta-Benchmarks for Financial-Services LLM Evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.01740/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Model comparison increasingly relies on large collections of publicly reported benchmark scores, yet common aggregation strategies trade off evidence coverage against control over capability weighting. Manually curated suites leave potentially informative evaluations unused, while uniform averaging retains them but gives greater influence to capabilities that happen to be benchmarked more densely. We introduce Balance of Benchmarks (BoB), a framework that retains eligible benchmark evidence while adapting its influence for task-conditioned model comparison using only public aggregate scores. BoB combines semantic density weighting, score equating across benchmarks of different difficulty, and task-relevant residual pooling. We evaluate it on 605 configurations across 14 Artificial Analysis benchmarks and on WildScores, a collection of 148 developer-reported benchmarks evaluated with held-out source-lineage families. On WildScores, BoB-Support raises family-mean Spearman correlation from 0.764 under uniform standardized averaging to 0.823, reduces MAE from 6.19 to 5.10 normalized score points, and increases three-model shortlist hit rate from 65.3% to 72.6%. BoB-Constant reaches a Spearman correlation of 0.831 and a hit rate of 74.6%. Separately, density weighting reduces average ranking changes when benchmarks are repeated, including as paraphrased copies. BoB-Support also reduces retrospective three-model shortlist regret from 2.08 to 1.67 normalized score points. BoB makes benchmark inclusion, redundancy, and task relevance explicit and testable measurement choices, allowing existing benchmark evidence to be used more fully while moderating the influence of benchmark proliferation.
