# Behavioral Latency as Weak Event-Time Supervision for EEG Reaction-Time Decoding

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.29428 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.29428/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 29 of its 59 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 29 Aug 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 29 of 29)

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- [An Empirical Evaluation of Generic Convolutional and Recurrent Networks for Sequence Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.01271/) (2018)
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- [Large Brain Model for Learning Generic Representations with Tremendous EEG Data in BCI](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.18765/) (2024)
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- [EEGFormer: Towards Transferable and Interpretable Large-Scale EEG Foundation Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.10278/) (2024)
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- [EEG Foundation Challenge: From Cross-Task to Cross-Subject EEG Decoding](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.19141/) (2025)
- [DOSED: a deep learning approach to detect multiple sleep micro-events in EEG signal](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.04079/) (2018)
- [BrainGPT: Unleashing the Potential of EEG Generalist Foundation Model by Autoregressive Pre-training](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.19779/) (2024)
- [The Third Pillar of Causal Analysis? A Measurement Perspective on Causal Representations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.17708/) (2025)
- [EEG-Based User Reaction Time Estimation Using Riemannian Geometry Features](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1704.08533/) (2017)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Single-trial EEG analyses are often organized around events and latencies, yet EEG-based reaction-time (RT) prediction is posed as scalar regression on a fixed stimulus-locked window. RT is treated as a window-level label rather than timing evidence about response-relevant dynamics. Here we reformulate trial-wise RT decoding as event-time posterior modeling. Instead of predicting RT directly, the model estimates a posterior over response-relevant event times, p(teventmid X), and uses its mean as the RT estimate. This treats behavioral latency as a weak observation of latent response-relevant timing. We evaluate this formulation on the Healthy Brain Network contrast change detection EEG task under a subject-disjoint, release-separated protocol. Across five seeds, distributional event-time supervision consistently improves held-out RT prediction relative to scalar regression and temporal-readout controls. Controlled objective comparisons isolate supervision of the event-time distribution, rather than expectation-based readout alone, as the source of this gain. Architecture controls show that the effect persists across four temporal backbones and is not explained by model scale. Beyond point prediction, posterior geometry characterizes concentration, target alignment, and interval behavior, while observation-noise calibration separates latent concentration from predictive uncertainty over RT. Shifted-crop inference probes shortcut use versus temporal localization. Matched shift-jitter improves robustness, increases mean sensitivity, and moves predictions more often in the expected crop-relative direction. Sensitivity remains below ideal crop-relative localization, leaving a clear equivariance gap. Together, these results establish event-time posterior modeling as a probabilistic and interpretable formulation for linking single-trial EEG dynamics to behavioral timing.
