# Learning to Transfer Across Modes: Towards Unified Urban Mobility Forecasting

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.28273 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.28273/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 14 of its 37 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 28 Aug 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 14 of 14)

- [Domain-Adversarial Training of Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1505.07818/) (2015)
- [Adversarial Discriminative Domain Adaptation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1702.05464/) (2017)
- [Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Networks: A Deep Learning Framework for Traffic Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1709.04875/) (2017)
- [Graph WaveNet for Deep Spatial-Temporal Graph Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.00121/) (2019)
- [Adaptive Graph Convolutional Recurrent Network for Traffic Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.02842/) (2020)
- [GMAN: A Graph Multi-Attention Network for Traffic Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.08415/) (2019)
- [Deep Learning for Spatio-Temporal Data Mining: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.04928/) (2019)
- [Learning from Multiple Cities: A Meta-Learning Approach for Spatial-Temporal Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1901.08518/) (2019)
- [Domain Adaptive Neural Networks for Object Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1409.6041/) (2014)
- [Short-Term Forecasting of Passenger Demand under On-Demand Ride Services: A Spatio-Temporal Deep Learning Approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.06279/) (2017)
- [Prompt-Based Spatio-Temporal Graph Transfer Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.12452/) (2024)
- [Traffic Prediction with Transfer Learning: A Mutual Information-based Approach](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.07184/) (2023)
- [Transfer learning for cross-modal demand prediction of bike-share and public transit](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.09279/) (2022)
- [FusionTransNet for Smart Urban Mobility: Spatiotemporal Traffic Forecasting Through Multimodal Network Integration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.05786/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Urban transportation systems consist of multiple mobility modes that coexist within the same city and exhibit complex interdependencies, leading to correlated demand dynamics across modes. However, forecasting demand jointly across different modes remains challenging due to substantial heterogeneity in space and the limited availability of historical data for emerging modes. Existing forecasting methods are largely developed for individual mobility modes and implicitly assume compatible spatial structures between source and target systems, which severely restricts their applicability in multi-modal settings. To address these challenges, we propose TransMod, a unified framework for urban mobility demand forecasting that enables effective knowledge transfer across heterogeneous mobility modes. TransMod constructs a shared zone-level spatial representation that aligns mobility systems with different spatial granularities into a common space, thereby reducing structural mismatch and distributional shift. Built on this unified representation, TransMod further learns transferable spatio-temporal patterns from data-rich source modes and adapts them to data-scarce target modes, alleviating the dependence on extensive target-domain histories. Extensive experiments on real-world datasets demonstrate that TransMod consistently outperforms existing approaches and provides robust forecasting performance under limited target data.
