# Stageboost: Recommending Signals Based on Counterfactual Estimation

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.27366 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.27366/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 2 of its 10 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 27 Aug 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 2 of 2)

- [XGBoost: A Scalable Tree Boosting System](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1603.02754/) (2016)
- [Optimal signals assignment for eBay View Item page](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.01198/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Signals are short textual or visual snippets displayed on the eBay View-Item (VI) page, providing additional, contextual information for users about the viewed item. The aim of displaying these signals is to facilitate intelligent purchase and to incentivize engagement. In this paper, we present a 2 stage xgboost based model that optimally populates the VI page with signals. This approach has shown a 0.08% lift in overall GMB (Gross Merchandise Bought) and 0.58% increase in Parts and Accessories GMB, primarily due to increase in conversion of high average price items in online experimentation.