# Adversarial Entropy Inflation Against Gumbel-Based Inference Verification

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.23375 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.23375/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 2 of its 4 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 24 Aug 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 2 of 2)

- [LMSYS-Chat-1M: A Large-Scale Real-World LLM Conversation Dataset](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.11998/) (2023)
- [Verifying LLM Inference to Detect Model Weight Exfiltration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.02620/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Gumbel-based inference verification bounds LLM weight exfiltration by only forgiving token choices that plausibly arise from honest GPU nondeterminism, reporting a >200x slowdown for a steganographic adversary under benign prompt traffic. This bound assumes a passive attacker; we show it degrades sharply against an adversary who instead controls the prompt distribution. Because the verifier's admissible-token-set size is driven by the model's own output entropy, prompts engineered to break grammatical and sub-word structure -- rather than benign conversational traffic -- widen that set and open a materially larger covert channel. Across six instruction-tuned models spanning 1B to 32B parameters and three random seeds, our strongest attack (character- and script-level disruption) roughly doubles bits leaked per token relative to benign prompts, cutting the slowdown factor to 60x - 118x. These results indicate that static, benign-traffic-calibrated thresholds are insufficient for this defense, and that jitter-forgiveness thresholds should instead be calibrated dynamically against local token entropy.
