# StocBench: A Benchmark for Generative Modeling of Stochastic Dynamics

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.22309 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.22309/

## Key facts

- Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Flow matching, time series and science, one of 14 directions in Diffusion models.
- Builds on 26 of its 34 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 23 Aug 2026.

## Placed in

- Diffusion models / [Flow matching, time series and science](https://mlsanity.com/diffusion/flow-matching-time-series-and-science/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 26 of 26)

- [Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.11239/) (2020)
- [Denoising Diffusion Implicit Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.02502/) (2020)
- [Score-Based Generative Modeling through Stochastic Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.13456/) (2020)
- [Flow Matching for Generative Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.02747/) (2022)
- [Generative Adversarial Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.00667/) (2022)
- [Flow Straight and Fast: Learning to Generate and Transfer Data with Rectified Flow](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.03003/) (2022)
- [Elucidating the Design Space of Diffusion-Based Generative Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.00364/) (2022)
- [Fourier Neural Operator for Parametric Partial Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.08895/) (2020)
- [DeepONet: Learning nonlinear operators for identifying differential equations based on the universal approximation theorem of operators](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1910.03193/) (2019)
- [DPM-Solver: A Fast ODE Solver for Diffusion Probabilistic Model Sampling in Around 10 Steps](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.00927/) (2022)
- [Consistency Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.01469/) (2023)
- [Building Normalizing Flows with Stochastic Interpolants](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.15571/) (2022)
- [Stochastic Interpolants: A Unifying Framework for Flows and Diffusions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.08797/) (2023)
- [Adversarial Diffusion Distillation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.17042/) (2023)
- [Diffusion Forcing: Next-token Prediction Meets Full-Sequence Diffusion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.01392/) (2024)
- [Improved Techniques for Training Consistency Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.14189/) (2023)
- [Message Passing Neural PDE Solvers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.03376/) (2022)
- [BEGAN: Boundary Equilibrium Generative Adversarial Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.10717/) (2017)
- [Benchmarking Autoregressive Conditional Diffusion Models for Turbulent Flow Simulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.01745/) (2023)
- [Probabilistic Forecasting with Stochastic Interpolants and F"ollmer Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.13724/) (2024)
- [On conditional diffusion models for PDE simulations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.16415/) (2024)
- [Neural Stochastic PDEs: Resolution-Invariant Learning of Continuous Spatiotemporal Dynamics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.10249/) (2021)
- [PDE-Transformer: Efficient and Versatile Transformers for Physics Simulations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.24717/) (2025)
- [Convergence Of Consistency Model With Multistep Sampling Under General Data Assumptions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.03194/) (2025)
- [TRIE: An Evaluation Framework for Stochastic PDE Surrogates](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.00196/) (2026)
- [Efficient probabilistic surrogate modeling techniques for partially-observed large-scale dynamical systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.04641/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 2 of 2)

- [STRIDE: State-Transition Representation via Increment Dynamics and Evolution](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.32367/) (2026)
- [Variational Streaming Flow: Probabilistic Forecasting in Physical Time](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.00976/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

We benchmark transport-based generative models as well as distillation-based few-step methods for the probabilistic forecasting of stochastic fluid flows, with a particular focus on performance under limited inference budgets. All methods are evaluated on a two-dimensional Kolmogorov flow with stochastic forcing. We measure one-step distributional accuracy against large simulated reference ensembles and assess whether the invariant measure is preserved during autoregressive rollouts via the enstrophy spectrum. On the stochastic task, flow matching achieves the most accurate one-step conditional distribution at high inference budgets, while the second-order exponential integrator DPM-2 is strongest at very low NFE. Few-step distillation methods are competitive with the multi-step methods and preserve the enstrophy spectrum particularly well. A deterministic control task, in which the forcing over the prediction interval is observed, separates aleatoric from epistemic uncertainty. Model performance does not translate between the two settings: the distilled models are competitive on the stochastic task but least accurate on the control task. While stochastic diffusion samplers such as DDPM better preserve the enstrophy spectrum during rollouts in the stochastic setting, deterministic samplers such as DDIM and DPM-2 show better spectral preservation in the deterministic setting.
