# ForeDreamer: A Self-Evolving Dual-Agent Memory Architecture for Future Event Prediction

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.20920 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.20920/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 29 of its 69 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 21 Aug 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 29 of 29)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [Language Models are Few-Shot Learners](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.14165/) (2020)
- [Retrieval-Augmented Generation for Knowledge-Intensive NLP Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.11401/) (2020)
- [Toolformer: Language Models Can Teach Themselves to Use Tools](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.04761/) (2023)
- [REALM: Retrieval-Augmented Language Model Pre-Training](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2002.08909/) (2020)
- [MemGPT: Towards LLMs as Operating Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.08560/) (2023)
- [Improving language models by retrieving from trillions of tokens](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.04426/) (2021)
- [A-MEM: Agentic Memory for LLM Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.12110/) (2025)
- [Evaluating Very Long-Term Conversational Memory of LLM Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.17753/) (2024)
- [LongMemEval: Benchmarking Chat Assistants on Long-Term Interactive Memory](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.10813/) (2024)
- [A Survey on the Memory Mechanism of Large Language Model based Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.13501/) (2024)
- [Memory in the Age of AI Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.13564/) (2025)
- [LightMem: Lightweight and Efficient Memory-Augmented Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.18866/) (2025)
- [MemSkill: Learning and Evolving Memory Skills for Self-Evolving Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.02474/) (2026)
- [Evo-Memory: Benchmarking LLM Agent Test-time Learning with Self-Evolving Memory](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.20857/) (2025)
- [From Human Memory to AI Memory: A Survey on Memory Mechanisms in the Era of LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.15965/) (2025)
- [ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of AI Forecasting Capabilities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.19839/) (2024)
- [Approaching Human-Level Forecasting with Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.18563/) (2024)
- [MemEvolve: Meta-Evolution of Agent Memory Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.18746/) (2025)
- [FutureX: An Advanced Live Benchmark for LLM Agents in Future Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.11987/) (2025)
- [Dr. Zero: Self-Evolving Search Agents without Training Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.07055/) (2026)
- [MIRAI: Evaluating LLM Agents for Event Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.01231/) (2024)
- [LLM-as-a-Prophet: Understanding Predictive Intelligence with Prophet Arena](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.17638/) (2025)
- [Group-Evolving Agents: Open-Ended Self-Improvement via Experience Sharing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.04837/) (2026)
- [TTCS: Test-Time Curriculum Synthesis for Self-Evolving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.22628/) (2026)
- [EvoConfig: Self-Evolving Multi-Agent Systems for Efficient Autonomous Environment Configuration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.16489/) (2026)
- [Active Zero: Self-Evolving Vision-Language Models through Active Environment Exploration](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.11241/) (2026)
- [MetaMem: Evolving Meta-Memory for Knowledge Utilization through Self-Reflective Symbolic Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.11182/) (2026)
- [Learn Like Humans: Use Meta-cognitive Reflection for Efficient Self-Improvement](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.11974/) (2026)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [From Existing Methods to New Research Ideas: Two Perspectives on Recursive Self-Improvement](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.14625/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Open-web future event prediction requires agents to distill reliable signals from noisy, redundant, and incomplete evidence. Existing retrieval/memory mechanisms directly feed retrieved information to agents or rely on simple memory functions such as storing and reusing prior information for prediction, leaving them insufficient for open-web forecasting. We propose to transform raw web evidence into structured memory before prediction, enabling agents to reason over distilled, question-specific evidence rather than noisy retrieval results. This paper presents ForeDreamer, a self-evolving dual-agent framework for managing memory over open-web evidence. ForeDreamer separates factual memory, a question-specific evidence state for the current forecast, from experiential memory, persistent agent experience accumulated across forecasting episodes. It uses a main agent for search and prediction, and a memory-processing subagent to convert search results into factual memory with dedicated tools. ForeDreamer further evolves experiential memory through two tracks, improving both forecasting decisions and factual-memory construction. Experiments on Prophet Arena and FutureX demonstrate the effectiveness of ForeDreamer. Project page: https://zhongzero.github.io/ForeDreamer