# UC-PSRO: Utility-Conditioned Policy-Space Response Oracles with a Communication-Dropout Curriculum for Game-Theoretic Course-of-Action Generation in Adversarial Swarms

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.15372 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.15372/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 10 of its 18 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 15 Aug 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 10 of 10)

- [Proximal Policy Optimization Algorithms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1707.06347/) (2017)
- [FiLM: Visual Reasoning with a General Conditioning Layer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1709.07871/) (2017)
- [High-Dimensional Continuous Control Using Generalized Advantage Estimation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1506.02438/) (2015)
- [Multi-Agent Actor-Critic for Mixed Cooperative-Competitive Environments](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.02275/) (2017)
- [QMIX: Monotonic Value Function Factorisation for Deep Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.11485/) (2018)
- [Learning Multiagent Communication with Backpropagation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1605.07736/) (2016)
- [A Unified Game-Theoretic Approach to Multiagent Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.00832/) (2017)
- [TarMAC: Targeted Multi-Agent Communication](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.11187/) (2018)
- [A Generalized Algorithm for Multi-Objective Reinforcement Learning and Policy Adaptation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1908.08342/) (2019)
- [Game-Theoretic Model and Experimental Investigation of Cyber Wargaming](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1809.10808/) (2018)

## Abstract (arXiv)

We study generating game-theoretically optimized Courses of Action (COAs) for a Blue UAS swarm against an adaptive Red adversary in a communication-degraded environment, motivated by (but not derived from) a public U.S. Air Force SBIR solicitation. We propose UC-PSRO (Utility-Conditioned Policy-Space Response Oracles with a Communication-Dropout Curriculum), combining three mechanisms: (i) PSRO self-play, so Blue and Red policies train as approximate best responses to each other rather than one side against a fixed scripted opponent; (ii) FiLM conditioning of the Blue policy on a Commander's-Intent weight vector, sampled from a Dirichlet distribution during training, so one trained policy is re-steerable at execution time without retraining; and (iii) a curriculum annealing communication-graph edge dropout during training, so the swarm learns decentralized, peer-to-peer fallback instead of depending on full connectivity. We evaluate on a synthetic, unclassified stand-in for the solicitation's maritime scenario, with 5 seeds at N=25 Blue agents and a scalability sweep to N=200. We find a genuine trade-off, not a uniform win: the communication-dropout curriculum alone gives the strongest, most robust mission-completion rates of any learned method, improving counter-intuitively as denial increases (35% to 62% success as dropout rises from 0 to 0.75); adding utility-conditioning and PSRO self-play substantially slows convergence within a fixed budget, and we find no reliable exploitability advantage for self-play over a fixed-opponent policy, both statistically indistinguishable from a small, near-zero gap. We report this honestly as a convergence cost not yet offset by a demonstrated robustness benefit, rather than overstating one method as dominant, and provide a fully vectorized, open environment training at N=200 agents in single-digit milliseconds per step on a single consumer GPU.