# Fine-Tuning Generative Models for Extreme Events via CVaR-Penalized Wasserstein Gradient Flows

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.11544 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.11544/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 14 of its 34 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 12 Aug 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 14 of 14)

- [Spectral Normalization for Generative Adversarial Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.05957/) (2018)
- [Heavy-Tailed Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.14171/) (2024)
- [ExGAN: Adversarial Generation of Extreme Samples](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2009.08454/) (2020)
- [Pareto GAN: Extending the Representational Power of GANs to Heavy-Tailed Distributions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.09113/) (2021)
- [Flow Density Control: Generative Optimization Beyond Entropy-Regularized Fine-Tuning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.22640/) (2025)
- [Flexible Tails for Normalizing Flows](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.16971/) (2024)
- [Formulation and properties of a divergence used to compare probability measures without absolute continuity](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1911.07422/) (2019)
- [(f,Gamma)-Divergences: Interpolating between f-Divergences and Integral Probability Metrics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.05953/) (2020)
- [Lipschitz-regularized gradient flows and generative particle algorithms for high-dimensional scarce data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.17230/) (2022)
- [Mirror Flow Matching with Heavy-Tailed Priors for Generative Modeling on Convex Domains](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.08929/) (2025)
- [Efficient Tail-Aware Generative Optimization via Flow Model Fine-Tuning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.16796/) (2026)
- [Risk-Averse Finetuning of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.06911/) (2025)
- [Robust Generative Learning with Lipschitz-Regularized α-Divergences Allows Minimal Assumptions on Target Distributions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.13962/) (2024)
- [Risk-Aware Stability, Ultimate Boundedness, and Positive Invariance](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.07329/) (2022)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [LLM-to-Flow Distillation: Teaching Natural Language Goals to Scientific Generators](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.17246/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

In many high-stakes domains, extreme events carry substantial consequences, yet learning the heavy-tailed distributions that govern them from finite samples remains challenging: the quantities of interest are driven by a few extreme observations, so the tail is under-sampled relative to its importance. Even generative models tailored for heavy tails capture the tail region inadequately in practice. We propose the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR)-penalized Generative Particle Algorithm (CVaR-GPA), a tail-agnostic algorithm for fine-tuning generative models toward heavy-tailed targets, built as a time discretization of the Wasserstein gradient flow of the Lipschitz-regularized KL divergence penalized by a CVaR discrepancy term. Such a flow can be initialized from the output samples of the pre-trained model, which are then transported along the gradient descent of the loss functional, without requiring access to the pre-trained model's internal architecture. The Lipschitz-regularized KL divergence requires minimal assumptions on the target, while the CVaR penalty focuses the flow on the tail. The CVaR penalty depends on the target only through a scalar tail statistic, inducing a velocity field that remains active in the under-sampled tail region at a dimension-free estimation cost. The resulting velocity field, and hence the depth of the transport map, implicitly adapts to the target, without target-specific modifications. Across four targets, including two real-world, high-dimensional datasets (daily streamflow in the Ohio River basin (d=64) and the Fama-French portfolios (d=25) with tail indices ranging from 1.05 to 3.34), fine-tuning with CVaR-GPA reduces global and tail errors by geometric-mean factors of 14.0 × and 9.8 ×, respectively, across seven pre-trained models spanning GANs, diffusion models, and other generative flows, with a single set of hyperparameters.
