# Toward a Causal Data Management Ecosystem for Decision Making and Agentic AI

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.07214 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.07214/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Medical and scientific domain agents, one of 16 directions in LLM agents and tool use.
- Builds on 14 of its 35 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 7 Aug 2026.

## Placed in

- LLM agents and tool use / [Medical and scientific domain agents](https://mlsanity.com/agents/medical-and-scientific-domain-agents/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 14 of 14)

- [Invariant Risk Minimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.02893/) (2019)
- [Self-Supervised Learning from Images with a Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.08243/) (2023)
- [V-JEPA 2: Self-Supervised Video Models Enable Understanding, Prediction and Planning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.09985/) (2025)
- [DAGs with NO TEARS: Continuous Optimization for Structure Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1803.01422/) (2018)
- [Causal inference using invariant prediction: identification and confidence intervals](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1501.01332/) (2015)
- [CausalGAN: Learning Causal Implicit Generative Models with Adversarial Training](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1709.02023/) (2017)
- [Causal Consistency of Structural Equation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1707.00819/) (2017)
- [Inducing Causal Structure for Interpretable Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.00826/) (2021)
- [Abstracting Causal Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.03789/) (2018)
- [VL-JEPA: Joint Embedding Predictive Architecture for Vision-language](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.10942/) (2025)
- [MC-JEPA: A Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture for Self-Supervised Learning of Motion and Content Features](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.12698/) (2023)
- [Causal-JEPA: Learning World Models through Object-Level Latent Masking](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.11389/) (2026)
- [Causal-Tune: Mining Causal Factors from Vision Foundation Models for Domain Generalized Semantic Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2512.16567/) (2025)
- [What If: Causal Analysis with Graph Databases](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.13965/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Modern AI is no longer a single model but an ecosystem: classical ML predictors, deep and multimodal models, large language models, and agents, each trained and tuned over different data sources and each producing outputs at scale that become inputs to the others. Operating such an ecosystem is fundamentally a data integration problem - the knowledge it depends on is fragmented across dozens of heterogeneous, independently governed sources that must be reconciled and continually maintained. Yet integration alone is not enough. The predictions these systems make are shaped by many interacting factors, and the events, decisions, and variables that drive an outcome are routinely entangled with the ones that merely accompany it; treated as a basis for action, such correlational signals invite confounded decisions. This becomes acute once agents act autonomously: to be trustworthy and reliable, an agent must anticipate the consequences of its actions, not merely extrapolate from what has co-occurred before. Causal reasoning is what closes this gap, distinguishing the drivers of an outcome from its correlates, and enabling prescriptive and counterfactual analysis over the ecosystem's data. We therefore argue that the integrated ecosystem needs an explicit causal layer, and we propose to build it as a shared, persistent, queryable Causal World System (CWS).
