# Deferred Exposure of Future Trajectories for Verifiable Reasoning in Autonomous Driving VLMs

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.01755 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.01755/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Chain-of-thought reasoning for driving, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning.
- Builds on 51 of its 88 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 3 Aug 2026.

## Placed in

- LLM reasoning / [Chain-of-thought reasoning for driving](https://mlsanity.com/lr/chain-of-thought-reasoning-for-driving/)
- Multimodal LLMs / vision-language models / [Driving VLMs and open-vocabulary detection](https://mlsanity.com/mllm/driving-vlms-and-open-vocabulary-detection/)
- Vision-language-action models / [VLA for autonomous driving](https://mlsanity.com/vla/vla-for-autonomous-driving/)
- End-to-end autonomous driving / [Reasoning VLA and VLM driving policies](https://mlsanity.com/driving/reasoning-vla-and-vlm-driving-policies/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 51)

- [Proximal Policy Optimization Algorithms](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1707.06347/) (2017)
- [DeepSeekMath: Pushing the Limits of Mathematical Reasoning in Open Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.03300/) (2024)
- [Qwen3 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.09388/) (2025)
- [DeepSeek-R1: Incentivizing Reasoning Capability in LLMs via Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.12948/) (2025)
- [Qwen3-VL Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.21631/) (2025)
- [FAST: Efficient Action Tokenization for Vision-Language-Action Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2501.09747/) (2025)
- [DriveVLM: The Convergence of Autonomous Driving and Large Vision-Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.12289/) (2024)
- [VLMEvalKit: An Open-Source Toolkit for Evaluating Large Multi-Modality Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.11691/) (2024)
- [CoT-VLA: Visual Chain-of-Thought Reasoning for Vision-Language-Action Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.22020/) (2025)
- [Reasoning Models Don't Always Say What They Think](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.05410/) (2025)
- [Rubrics as Rewards: Reinforcement Learning Beyond Verifiable Domains](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.17746/) (2025)
- [GPT-Driver: Learning to Drive with GPT](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.01415/) (2023)
- [DiffusionDrive: Truncated Diffusion Model for End-to-End Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.15139/) (2024)
- [LIBERO-Plus: In-depth Robustness Analysis of Vision-Language-Action Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.13626/) (2025)
- [SparseDrive: End-to-End Autonomous Driving via Sparse Scene Representation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.19620/) (2024)
- [DriveMLM: Aligning Multi-Modal Large Language Models with Behavioral Planning States for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.09245/) (2023)
- [EMMA: End-to-End Multimodal Model for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.23262/) (2024)
- [MMSI-Bench: A Benchmark for Multi-Image Spatial Intelligence](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.23764/) (2025)
- [LIBERO-PRO: Towards Robust and Fair Evaluation of Vision-Language-Action Models Beyond Memorization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.03827/) (2025)
- [OpenDriveVLA: Towards End-to-end Autonomous Driving with Large Vision Language Action Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.23463/) (2025)
- [Chain-of-Thought Reasoning In The Wild Is Not Always Faithful](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.08679/) (2025)
- [Senna: Bridging Large Vision-Language Models and End-to-End Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.22313/) (2024)
- [RoboSpatial: Teaching Spatial Understanding to 2D and 3D Vision-Language Models for Robotics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.16537/) (2024)
- [ViewSpatial-Bench: Evaluating Multi-perspective Spatial Localization in Vision-Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.21500/) (2025)
- [SRFT: A Single-Stage Method with Supervised and Reinforcement Fine-Tuning for Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.19767/) (2025)
- [Gemini Robotics: Bringing AI into the Physical World](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.20020/) (2025)
- [DriveCoT: Integrating Chain-of-Thought Reasoning with End-to-End Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.16996/) (2024)
- [Trajeglish: Traffic Modeling as Next-Token Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.04535/) (2023)
- [Online Rubrics Elicitation from Pairwise Comparisons](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.07284/) (2025)
- [Gen-Drive: Enhancing Diffusion Generative Driving Policies with Reward Modeling and Reinforcement Learning Fine-tuning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.05582/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [SquidAgent: Parallelize Wisely, Coordinate Efficiently](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.08647/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Recent Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models for autonomous driving (AD) increasingly utilize chain-of-thought (CoT) supervision to enhance the reasoning capabilities of their Vision-Language Model (VLM) components, yet existing annotation pipelines commonly expose the teacher model to the logged ground-truth (GT) future trajectory. We empirically show that this induces trajectory anchoring bias: teacher models rationalize the revealed outcome rather than infer a decision from scene evidence, producing less causally faithful CoTs and substantially more severe hallucinations, especially in causally challenging scenes. Removing the GT trajectory eliminates this shortcut, but open-ended trajectory generation entangles high-level decision-making with precise geometric synthesis and low-level dynamics. To make trajectory-level driving decisions verifiable without requiring open-ended trajectory synthesis, we introduce Autonomous-Driving Multiple-Choice Question (AD-MCQ), which casts planning as selection among explicit trajectory candidates. Taking this a step further, we propose Deferred Exposure of Future Trajectories for RLVR (DEFT-RLVR) to transform future trajectories from pre-decision anchors into post-decision verification targets. Experimental results show that DEFT-RLVR improves AD reasoning while preserving or even enhancing general visual capabilities. With VLM-only inference and controllable difficulty through candidate construction, AD-MCQ provides a flexible, scalable, and extensible foundation for future research on verifiable AD reasoning.