# Learning Stateful Predictive Knowledge From Experience

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.28638 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.28638/

## Key facts

- Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 38 of its 48 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 19 May 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 38)

- [Qwen3 Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.09388/) (2025)
- [ReAct: Synergizing Reasoning and Acting in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.03629/) (2022)
- [Reflexion: Language Agents with Verbal Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.11366/) (2023)
- [Self-Refine: Iterative Refinement with Self-Feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.17651/) (2023)
- [WebShop: Towards Scalable Real-World Web Interaction with Grounded Language Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.01206/) (2022)
- [ALFWorld: Aligning Text and Embodied Environments for Interactive Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.03768/) (2020)
- [On-Policy Distillation of Language Models: Learning from Self-Generated Mistakes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.13649/) (2023)
- [Group Sequence Policy Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.18071/) (2025)
- [RAFT: Reward rAnked FineTuning for Generative Foundation Model Alignment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.06767/) (2023)
- [Self-Distilled Reasoner: On-Policy Self-Distillation for Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.18734/) (2026)
- [RAGEN: Understanding Self-Evolution in LLM Agents via Multi-Turn Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.20073/) (2025)
- [Reinforcement Learning via Self-Distillation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.20802/) (2026)
- [The Illusion of Thinking: Understanding the Strengths and Limitations of Reasoning Models via the Lens of Problem Complexity](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.06941/) (2025)
- [Memory-R1: Enhancing Large Language Model Agents to Manage and Utilize Memories via Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.19828/) (2025)
- [AdaPlanner: Adaptive Planning from Feedback with Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.16653/) (2023)
- [MemRL: Self-Evolving Agents via Runtime Reinforcement Learning on Episodic Memory](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.03192/) (2026)
- [Memento: Fine-tuning LLM Agents without Fine-tuning LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.16153/) (2025)
- [Critique-GRPO: Advancing LLM Reasoning with Natural Language and Numerical Feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.03106/) (2025)
- [Agent Learning via Early Experience](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.08558/) (2025)
- [AgentEvolver: Towards Efficient Self-Evolving Agent System](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2511.10395/) (2025)
- [ReMA: Learning to Meta-think for LLMs with Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.09501/) (2025)
- [Memento-Skills: Let Agents Design Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.18743/) (2026)
- [Amortized Planning with Large-Scale Transformers: A Case Study on Chess](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.04494/) (2024)
- [Large Language Models Are Semi-Parametric Reinforcement Learning Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.07929/) (2023)
- [LLF-Bench: Benchmark for Interactive Learning from Language Feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.06853/) (2023)
- [Reflect, Retry, Reward: Self-Improving LLMs via Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.24726/) (2025)
- [Efficient Reinforcement Learning with Large Language Model Priors](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.07927/) (2024)
- [Why Reasoning Fails to Plan: A Planning-Centric Analysis of Long-Horizon Decision Making in LLM Agents](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2601.22311/) (2026)
- [Trinity-RFT: A General-Purpose and Unified Framework for Reinforcement Fine-Tuning of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.17826/) (2025)
- [Natural Language Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.07157/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 2 of 2)

- [Self-Retrospection Distillation: Turning Post-hoc Experiences into Prior Foresight](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.08077/) (2026)
- [Large Discovery Models: Empirically-grounded Model-Based Open-Ended Search](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.15669/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

As large language model (LLM) agents increasingly learn from experience, they primarily rely on trajectory-level reflection to extract insights. Viewed through the lens of predictive knowledge, we argue that this approach operates on episodic hindsight rather than predictive foresight, yielding brittle, path-dependent heuristics. To address this, we propose Stateful Knowledge Learning (SKL). SKL shifts the agent's focus from trajectory-level summarization to maintaining Stateful Knowledge: explicit, declarative predictive assessments anchored to state. We first demonstrate a motivating example showing how stateful knowledge provides granularity, enhances generalization, and enables knowledge bootstrapping. To further scale up the idea, we introduce two algorithms via self-distillation (SKL-SD) and reinforcement learning (SKL-RL), training agents to autonomously extract state-grounded predictive knowledge from experience and learn to leverage it for policy making. Experiments on interactive environments (WebShop, ScienceWorld) and a complex reasoning task (ChessPuzzles) demonstrate that equipping models with the inherent ability to learn stateful predictive knowledge significantly outpaces current reflection-based training paradigms.