# Enhancing Irregular Time Series Forecasting with Continuous-Time Modeling Framework

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.28035 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.28035/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 17 of its 28 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 30 Jul 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 17 of 17)

- [PyTorch: An Imperative Style, High-Performance Deep Learning Library](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.01703/) (2019)
- [Neural Ordinary Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.07366/) (2018)
- [Flow Straight and Fast: Learning to Generate and Transfer Data with Rectified Flow](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.03003/) (2022)
- [CSDI: Conditional Score-based Diffusion Models for Probabilistic Time Series Imputation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.03502/) (2021)
- [Recurrent Neural Networks for Multivariate Time Series with Missing Values](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1606.01865/) (2016)
- [Neural Controlled Differential Equations for Irregular Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2005.08926/) (2020)
- [Autoregressive Denoising Diffusion Models for Multivariate Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.12072/) (2021)
- [TFB: Towards Comprehensive and Fair Benchmarking of Time Series Forecasting Methods](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.20150/) (2024)
- [Multi-Time Attention Networks for Irregularly Sampled Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2101.10318/) (2021)
- [GRU-ODE-Bayes: Continuous modeling of sporadically-observed time series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1905.12374/) (2019)
- [Set Functions for Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1909.12064/) (2019)
- [Modeling Irregular Time Series with Continuous Recurrent Units](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.11344/) (2021)
- [Warpformer: A Multi-scale Modeling Approach for Irregular Clinical Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.09368/) (2023)
- [Rethinking Irregular Time Series Forecasting: A Simple yet Effective Baseline](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.11250/) (2025)
- [FlowTS: Time Series Generation via Rectified Flow](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.07506/) (2024)
- [Graph Neural Flows for Unveiling Systemic Interactions Among Irregularly Sampled Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.14030/) (2024)
- [Bridging the Last Mile of Prediction: Enhancing Time Series Forecasting with Conditional Guided Flow Matching](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.07192/) (2025)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Continuous-Time Machine Learning: A Unified Mathematical Perspective](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.16710/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Irregular multivariate time series are widely encountered in applications such as healthcare monitoring, human activity recognition, and environmental sensing. Their core challenges stem from asynchronous observations, non-uniform sampling intervals, and the fact that temporal patterns themselves carry critical dynamic information. Existing approaches either rely on discretization-based preprocessing (e.g., interpolation, imputation, or aggregation), which disrupts the underlying continuous-time semantics, or adopt continuous-time modeling via ODE-based frameworks, which typically require specialized architectures and incur substantial computational overhead due to numerical solvers. To address these limitations, we propose WrapFlow, a continuous-time modeling framework for irregular time series forecasting. On the input side, WrapFlow introduces Continuous-Time Tokenization, which directly encodes raw observation events and explicitly models long unobserved intervals via gap-aware tokens. The resulting continuous-time tokens are then processed by a standard Transformer backbone to capture long-range temporal dependencies. On the output side, we develop a simulation-free training paradigm for Residual Flow Matching, which learns conditional residual vector fields around base predictions while avoiding numerical-solver simulation and backpropagation during training. This design enables high-quality continuous forecasting using only a small number of fixed rollout steps at inference. Extensive experiments on multiple real-world datasets demonstrate that WrapFlow achieves state-of-the-art performance.