# TIER-MoE: Trust-Informed Expert Routing via Conditional Modality Risk for Multimodal Fusion in Biomedical Classification

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.27289 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.27289/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Medical and biomedical MoE, one of 12 directions in Mixture-of-experts.
- Builds on 1 of its 30 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 29 Jul 2026.

## Placed in

- Mixture-of-experts / [Medical and biomedical MoE](https://mlsanity.com/moe/medical-and-biomedical-moe/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Gated Multimodal Units for Information Fusion](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1702.01992/) (2017)

## Abstract (arXiv)

The promise of multimodal fusion lies in combining complementary sources of evidence, yet more evidence does not always yield a better prediction. Recent multimodal models have advanced fusion through richer cross-modal interaction and sample-adaptive fusion. However, the influence assigned to a modality during fusion does not reveal whether that source is unreliable, redundant, or poorly matched to a specialized expert. To address this limitation, we introduce TIER-MoE, a risk-guided subspace mixture-of-experts model that defines sample-specific modality reliability as the prediction loss its unimodal predictor is expected to incur. This risk is learned from out-of-fold predictions generated by models that were not trained on the corresponding sample. TIER-MoE combines the estimated risk with expert-specific subspace compatibility for sparse modality-expert routing, while an always-active shared path preserves multimodal complementarity. We evaluate TIER-MoE on four public multimodal biomedical datasets spanning Alzheimer's disease status, skin-lesion malignancy, and retinal classification. Results demonstrate its superiority over state-of-the-art methods in predictive performance and probability calibration, with consistent improvements in Macro-F1 and Brier score and strong zero-shot generalization to an external cohort.