# Collaborative System Failure Prognostics via Federated Longitudinal-Survival Modeling

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.26038 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.26038/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 10 of its 35 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 28 Jul 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 10 of 10)

- [Communication-Efficient Learning of Deep Networks from Decentralized Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1602.05629/) (2016)
- [Neural Machine Translation by Jointly Learning to Align and Translate](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1409.0473/) (2014)
- [Advances and Open Problems in Federated Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1912.04977/) (2019)
- [Federated Optimization in Heterogeneous Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1812.06127/) (2018)
- [DeepSurv: Personalized Treatment Recommender System Using A Cox Proportional Hazards Deep Neural Network](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1606.00931/) (2016)
- [Federated Survival Analysis with Discrete-Time Cox Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.08997/) (2020)
- [Dual Aspect Self-Attention based on Transformer for Remaining Useful Life Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.15842/) (2021)
- [A Federated Learning-based Industrial Health Prognostics for Heterogeneous Edge Devices using Matched Feature Extraction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.07854/) (2023)
- [Variational Inference of Joint Models using Multivariate Gaussian Convolution Processes](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1903.03867/) (2019)
- [A Federated Cox Model with Non-Proportional Hazards](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.05050/) (2022)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Time-to-event modeling provides a systematic framework for estimating time-dependent failure risk, reliability, and remaining useful life (RUL) from longitudinal condition monitoring data. However, applying these models to distributed prognostics remains challenging because sensor trajectories and failure-time records are often stored across organizations or operational sites and cannot be centrally pooled due to privacy or proprietary constraints. Moreover, the classical Cox proportional hazards model relies on a nonseparable partial likelihood involving global risk sets, making direct optimization difficult under standard federated learning protocols. This paper presents a federated longitudinal-survival modeling framework for collaborative system failure prognostics. The proposed framework combines longitudinal sensor representation learning with a client-separable discrete-time hazard objective, enabling multiple clients to collaboratively train a prognostic model without sharing raw sensor measurements or individual failure records. Time-dependent representations extracted from multivariate sensor histories are used to estimate interval-specific failure hazards, reliability curves, and system RUL. Experiments on the four C-MAPSS turbofan engine degradation subsets under simulated decentralized settings demonstrate that the proposed framework consistently improves prognostic performance over isolated local training while maintaining performance comparable to centralized training across heterogeneous operating conditions and failure modes. These results demonstrate the potential of federated longitudinal-survival modeling for collaborative, data-aware condition monitoring and system failure prognostics.