# StanceFlip: A Comprehensive Multi-Dimensional Benchmark for Multimodal Conversational Stance Flipping Forecasting

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.24191 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.24191/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 20 of its 52 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 27 Jul 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 20 of 20)

- [Microsoft COCO: Common Objects in Context](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1405.0312/) (2014)
- [The Llama 3 Herd of Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.21783/) (2024)
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- [Frozen in Time: A Joint Video and Image Encoder for End-to-End Retrieval](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.00650/) (2021)
- [ImageBind: One Embedding Space To Bind Them All](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.05665/) (2023)
- [DailyDialog: A Manually Labelled Multi-turn Dialogue Dataset](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.03957/) (2017)
- [MELD: A Multimodal Multi-Party Dataset for Emotion Recognition in Conversations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.02508/) (2018)
- [Seed1.5-VL Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.07062/) (2025)
- [Zero-Shot Stance Detection: A Dataset and Model using Generalized Topic Representations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2010.03640/) (2020)
- [Stance Detection on Social Media: State of the Art and Trends](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.03644/) (2020)
- [Adversarial Learning for Zero-Shot Stance Detection on Social Media](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.06603/) (2021)
- [MITRE at SemEval-2016 Task 6: Transfer Learning for Stance Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1606.03784/) (2016)
- [Multi-modal Stance Detection: New Datasets and Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2402.14298/) (2024)
- [A Challenge Dataset and Effective Models for Conversational Stance Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.11145/) (2024)
- [Discourse-Aware Rumour Stance Classification in Social Media Using Sequential Classifiers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1712.02223/) (2017)
- [Multimodal Multi-turn Conversation Stance Detection: A Challenge Dataset and Effective Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.00597/) (2024)
- [Zero-Shot Conversational Stance Detection: Dataset and Approaches](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.17693/) (2025)
- [MultiClimate: Multimodal Stance Detection on Climate Change Videos](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.18346/) (2024)
- [MT2-CSD: A New Dataset and Multi-Semantic Knowledge Fusion Method for Conversational Stance Detection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.21053/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Conversational stance detection has shifted from static text analysis to dynamic multimodal modeling. However, existing benchmarks exhibit three key limitations: failure to capture the dynamic evolution of beliefs, particularly during stance reversals; difficulty in disentangling affective states from logical reasoning; and neglect of the critical role of multimodal cues in resolving pragmatic ambiguities such as sarcasm. To address these limitations, we propose StanceFlip, a benchmark designed for multimodal conversational stance flipping forecasting over multi-turn dialogues across five modalities and multi-scenarios, which includes two novel subtasks: 1) Multimodal Stance Sextuple Extraction, extracting holder, target, emotion, sentiment, stance, and rationale as static state snapshots of dialogue to capture fine-grained cognitive structures. 2) Dynamic Stance Flip Attribution, tracking stance reversals across the conversation and identifying their underlying triggers. Alongside the dataset, we propose a dedicated framework, named ConStaFF, for Multimodal Conversational Stance Flipping Forecasting (MCSFF). Built upon a large language model, ConStaFF performs end-to-end stance reasoning, with a Thought-of-Stance (ToS) reasoning framework and a self-reflective verification mechanism integrated for structured stance modeling and faithful flip attribution. Specifically, ToS decomposes the reasoning process into specialized cognitive personas to formulate target propositions, resolve cross-modal conflicts, and infer historical stance trajectories. Extensive experiments show that our approach achieves state-of-the-art performance on both sextuple extraction and flip-trigger attribution, outperforming strong multimodal large language model baselines by substantial margins.
