# A Shortcut to Statistically Steady-State Turbulence with Flow Matching

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.13022 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.13022/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Flow matching, time series and science, one of 14 directions in Diffusion models.
- Builds on 26 of its 65 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 14 Jul 2026.

## Placed in

- Diffusion models / [Flow matching, time series and science](https://mlsanity.com/diffusion/flow-matching-time-series-and-science/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 26 of 26)

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- [Scalable Diffusion Models with Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.09748/) (2022)
- [Flow Matching for Generative Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.02747/) (2022)
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- [DYffusion: A Dynamics-informed Diffusion Model for Spatiotemporal Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.01984/) (2023)
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- [Learning Distributions of Complex Fluid Simulations with Diffusion Graph Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.02843/) (2025)
- [Uncertainty-aware Surrogate Models for Airfoil Flow Simulations with Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.05320/) (2023)
- [GyroSwin: 5D Surrogates for Gyrokinetic Plasma Turbulence Simulations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.07314/) (2025)
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## Abstract (arXiv)

Many nonlinear physical systems exhibit an initial transient phase in which perturbations grow before nonlinear interactions lead to a statistically steady state. While this saturated regime is of primary interest, direct numerical simulations must resolve the full transient dynamics before reaching it, incurring significant computational cost. In Computational Fluid Dynamics, reduced-order approaches such as Large Eddy Simulation mitigate computational cost by modeling small-scale dynamics, enabling tractable approximations of turbulent flows. In contrast, for systems such as gyrokinetics, comparably effective closures for the full dynamics are not generally available, and high-fidelity simulations remain necessary. Existing surrogate modeling approaches for these systems are autoregressive, hence they suffer from accumulating error. We instead propose to bypass explicit time evolution by directly modeling the distribution of saturated states under an ergodicity assumption, stating that ensemble averages over samples are equivalent to time averages of a single long simulation. We introduce GyroFlow, a latent generative model that directly estimates steady-state statistics of gyrokinetic turbulence in 5D phase space, without resolving the transient phase. GyroFlow generates saturated snapshots from noise, conditioned on dimensionless operating parameters and outperforms autoregressive, reduced-order, and other generative approaches, while providing substantial speedup. To evaluate generation quality we propose FGyD, a distributional metric computed in the latent space of a pretrained gyrokinetic model, and show that it correlates with downstream flux accuracy and solver convergence. Finally, GyroFlow can be used to warm-start the numerical code used to produce the data.