# Form, Not Content? A Preregistered, Placebo-Controlled Evaluation of Learned Error-Conditioned Self-Repair Through Prompts and Weights in Frozen Small Code Models

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.12962 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.12962/

## Key facts

- Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 68 of its 95 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 14 Jul 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 68)

- [LoRA: Low-Rank Adaptation of Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.09685/) (2021)
- [Evaluating Large Language Models Trained on Code](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.03374/) (2021)
- [Scaling Laws for Neural Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.08361/) (2020)
- [Bootstrap your own latent: A new approach to self-supervised Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.07733/) (2020)
- [Reflexion: Language Agents with Verbal Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.11366/) (2023)
- [Program Synthesis with Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2108.07732/) (2021)
- [Self-Refine: Iterative Refinement with Self-Feedback](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.17651/) (2023)
- [QLoRA: Efficient Finetuning of Quantized LLMs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.14314/) (2023)
- [Training Compute-Optimal Large Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.15556/) (2022)
- [Scaling LLM Test-Time Compute Optimally can be More Effective than Scaling Model Parameters](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.03314/) (2024)
- [Rethinking the Role of Demonstrations: What Makes In-Context Learning Work?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.12837/) (2022)
- [Is Your Code Generated by ChatGPT Really Correct? Rigorous Evaluation of Large Language Models for Code Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.01210/) (2023)
- [Mastering Diverse Domains through World Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.04104/) (2023)
- [Qwen2.5-Coder Technical Report](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.12186/) (2024)
- [DeepSeek-Coder: When the Large Language Model Meets Programming -- The Rise of Code Intelligence](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2401.14196/) (2024)
- [VICReg: Variance-Invariance-Covariance Regularization for Self-Supervised Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.04906/) (2021)
- [Self-Supervised Learning from Images with a Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.08243/) (2023)
- [Large Language Models Cannot Self-Correct Reasoning Yet](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.01798/) (2023)
- [Large Language Monkeys: Scaling Inference Compute with Repeated Sampling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.21787/) (2024)
- [Teaching Large Language Models to Self-Debug](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.05128/) (2023)
- [STaR: Bootstrapping Reasoning With Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.14465/) (2022)
- [Quantifying Language Models' Sensitivity to Spurious Features in Prompt Design or: How I learned to start worrying about prompt formatting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.11324/) (2023)
- [V-JEPA 2: Self-Supervised Video Models Enable Understanding, Prediction and Planning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.09985/) (2025)
- [A Tutorial on Bayesian Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1807.02811/) (2018)
- [BigCodeBench: Benchmarking Code Generation with Diverse Function Calls and Complex Instructions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.15877/) (2024)
- [Reinforced Self-Training (ReST) for Language Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.08998/) (2023)
- [Training Language Models to Self-Correct via Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.12917/) (2024)
- [CodeRL: Mastering Code Generation through Pretrained Models and Deep Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2207.01780/) (2022)
- [Beyond Human Data: Scaling Self-Training for Problem-Solving with Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.06585/) (2023)
- [LoRA Learns Less and Forgets Less](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.09673/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 2 of 2)

- [Does Fault Localization Beat a Fresh Attempt? A Placebo-Controlled Study of Test-Guided Code Repair](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.00854/) (2026)
- [Does Learning to Predict the World Help Agents Act? Auditing World-Model Post-Training](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2609.33335/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Frozen small code LLMs are deployed locally, yet the information guiding a retry after a failed attempt is still measured without placebo controls in the self-repair literature. We treat a failed program as a conjecture and an execution counterexample as an oracle-relative refutation, and introduce PoPE (Popperian Placebo-controlled Evaluation): a methodology for measuring whether evidence that falsifies LLM-generated code can be used operationally by that same model. In PoPE, error content is paired with channel-specific placebos that keep the predeclared scaffold while ablating task-relevant content or deranging the task-error assignment. Frozen small code models (0.5-1.5B) are evaluated under preregistered rules through a prompt channel and a weight channel (small-data adapter training), with four generations per arm-unit pair. In the prompt channel, public-tier screening unlocked 12 units under the content-ablated form placebo versus 10 under the live error-pattern arm on a 40-unit resistant band; the result was recorded as mechanism-null. In the weight channel, an 8-8 tie was observed between the error-content adapter and the intervention-free baseline (p=1.0), while the SHA-deranged placebo adapter stayed ahead with 10 unlocks; content-attributable superiority was not confirmed. These results do not constitute evidence of equivalence or non-inferiority. Equivalence was not tested separately. Findings are restricted to the public-tier screening endpoint; hidden-tier confirmation was deferred by design. We read this not as compiled criticism disappearing as information, but as the loss of its external role in testing a new conjecture: when a representation learned from the oracle is written back into the generation state, testing is replaced by conditioning. No working JEPA-RL controller is claimed. PoPE is presented as a placebo-controlled, retestable measurement standard.