# Diffusion-Guided Uncertainty-Aware Delayed Policy Optimization

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.05064 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.05064/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Deep RL algorithms and representations, one of 15 directions in Deep reinforcement learning methods.
- Builds on 35 of its 42 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 6 Jul 2026.

## Placed in

- Deep reinforcement learning methods / [Deep RL algorithms and representations](https://mlsanity.com/deeprl/deep-rl-algorithms-and-representations/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 30 of 35)

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- [Quest: Query-Aware Sparsity for Efficient Long-Context LLM Inference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.10774/) (2024)
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- [TiRex: Zero-Shot Forecasting Across Long and Short Horizons with Enhanced In-Context Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.23719/) (2025)
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## Abstract (arXiv)

Reinforcement learning in real world environments often suffers from severe performance degradation due to delayed feedback. Existing approaches typically mitigate performance degradation caused by observation delays by constructing augmented states or predicting the true states. However, these methods often overlook the inherent discrepancy between delayed state and true states induced by stochastic MDP. We theoretically prove the existence of such a discrepancy and show that it leads to the degradation of the optimal policy. To address this challenge, we propose Diffusion Guided Uncertainty Aware Delayed Policy Optimization (DUPO). Our method explicitly models the relationship between delayed state message and the current state using a diffusion model, and leverages the resulting discrepancy estimates to weight delayed policies. Extensive experiments on continuous robotic control tasks with multiple stochastic delays demonstrate that DUPO consistently outperforms existing methods and remains effective even under long and random delay scenarios.
