# From Global to Local: Efficient Regional Weather Downscaling with Global Weather Foundation Model

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.03279 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2607.03279/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 9 of its 33 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 3 Jul 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 9 of 9)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [Photo-Realistic Single Image Super-Resolution Using a Generative Adversarial Network](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1609.04802/) (2016)
- [FourCastNet: A Global Data-driven High-resolution Weather Model using Adaptive Fourier Neural Operators](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.11214/) (2022)
- [Accelerating the Super-Resolution Convolutional Neural Network](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1608.00367/) (2016)
- [ClimaX: A foundation model for weather and climate](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.10343/) (2023)
- [Pangu-Weather: A 3D High-Resolution Model for Fast and Accurate Global Weather Forecast](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.02556/) (2022)
- [Improving data-driven global weather prediction using deep convolutional neural networks on a cubed sphere](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2003.11927/) (2020)
- [Kilometer-Scale Convection Allowing Model Emulation using Generative Diffusion Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.10958/) (2024)
- [Efficient Localized Adaptation of Neural Weather Forecasting: A Case Study in the MENA Region](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2409.07585/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Accurate regional weather prediction requires resolving fine-scale structure while remaining consistent with global dynamics. Traditional limited area models rely on computationally expensive simulations, while many learning-based approaches frame the problem as super-resolution, overlooking statistical and physical mismatches across scales. We propose a foundation-model-driven downscaling framework that learns regional refinements of global forecasts by augmenting a pretrained weather model backbone with lightweight, multi-scale prediction heads operating directly in its latent space. Despite being trained on substantially coarser inputs, the pretrained backbone supports regional adaptation at resolutions corresponding to a two-order-of-magnitude increase in grid-cell resolution, without the need for retraining. The proposed approach uses regional numerical simulations as training targets and is evaluated not only against gridded datasets but also against ground-based weather station observations, enabling analysis of systematic biases between global reanalysis, regional simulations, and in-situ weather station observations. Our experiments show improved accuracy in comparison to NWP on most of the metrics at the fraction of computational cost. Moreover, we observe that building on a latent space of globally pre-trained weather foundation model offers better downscaling capabilities than the standard image-based super-resolution approaches.
