# Quantum Annealing Enhanced Reinforcement Learning for Accurate Remaining Useful Lifetime Prediction

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.18503 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.18503/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Quantum reinforcement learning, one of 15 directions in Deep reinforcement learning methods.
- Builds on 4 of its 52 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 16 Jun 2026.

## Placed in

- Deep reinforcement learning methods / [Quantum reinforcement learning](https://mlsanity.com/deeprl/quantum-reinforcement-learning/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 4 of 4)

- [Ising formulations of many NP problems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1302.5843/) (2013)
- [An Improved Analysis of Stochastic Gradient Descent with Momentum](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2007.07989/) (2020)
- [Federated learning framework for collaborative remaining useful life prognostics: an aircraft engine case study](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.00499/) (2025)
- [Des-q: a quantum algorithm to provably speedup retraining of decision trees](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.09976/) (2023)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Remaining useful life (RUL) estimation is central to predictive maintenance, where an unplanned failure can cost far more than the asset itself. Statistical degradation models miss the strong nonlinearity of real systems, and data-driven models often converge to suboptimal solutions in high-dimensional, non-convex search spaces. We propose a Quantum Annealing enhanced Q-Learning (QAQL) framework that couples the sampling behaviour of quantum annealing with the sequential decision making of Q-learning. Each Q-value update is encoded as a small quadratic unconstrained binary optimization (QUBO) whose ground state is the greedy action; rather than acting as a deterministic optimizer, the annealer returns a distribution over near-optimal actions across many reads, and this stochastic action selection supplies the exploration that curbs premature convergence on nonlinear degradation trajectories. The QUBO is solved on the D-Wave Advantage system using minor embedding, with the annealer woven into the reinforcement-learning loop rather than bolted on after training. We validate QAQL on two public benchmarks: the NASA C-MAPSS turbofan engine datasets and a device-fleet predictive maintenance dataset. Averaged over many independent runs and across six error metrics, QAQL outperforms the classical and quantum baselines considered in this study, with statistically significant improvements. The results indicate that quantum annealing is a usable, not merely theoretical, optimizer inside a reinforcement-learning loop for industrial predictive-maintenance applications.
