# Is Your Trajectory Displacement Safe in Long-tail?

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.16313 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.16313/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 27 of its 45 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 15 Jun 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 27 of 27)

- [ReAct: Synergizing Reasoning and Acting in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.03629/) (2022)
- [Reflexion: Language Agents with Verbal Reinforcement Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.11366/) (2023)
- [CARLA: An Open Urban Driving Simulator](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.03938/) (2017)
- [PAL: Program-aided Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.10435/) (2022)
- [LLM+P: Empowering Large Language Models with Optimal Planning Proficiency](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.11477/) (2023)
- [NuPlan: A closed-loop ML-based planning benchmark for autonomous vehicles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.11810/) (2021)
- [Logic-LM: Empowering Large Language Models with Symbolic Solvers for Faithful Logical Reasoning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.12295/) (2023)
- [NAVSIM: Data-Driven Non-Reactive Autonomous Vehicle Simulation and Benchmarking](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.15349/) (2024)
- [DiffusionDrive: Truncated Diffusion Model for End-to-End Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.15139/) (2024)
- [Bench2Drive: Towards Multi-Ability Benchmarking of Closed-Loop End-To-End Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.03877/) (2024)
- [Parting with Misconceptions about Learning-based Vehicle Motion Planning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.07962/) (2023)
- [ReCogDrive: A Reinforced Cognitive Framework for End-to-End Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.08052/) (2025)
- [End-to-End Driving with Online Trajectory Evaluation via BEV World Model](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.01941/) (2025)
- [Pseudo-Simulation for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.04218/) (2025)
- [DriveVLA-W0: World Models Amplify Data Scaling Law in Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.12796/) (2025)
- [DriveSuprim: Towards Precise Trajectory Selection for End-to-End Planning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.06659/) (2025)
- [Best-Worst Scaling More Reliable than Rating Scales: A Case Study on Sentiment Intensity Annotation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1712.01765/) (2017)
- [Scalable End-to-End Autonomous Vehicle Testing via Rare-event Simulation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.00145/) (2018)
- [WOD-E2E: Waymo Open Dataset for End-to-End Driving in Challenging Long-tail Scenarios](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.26125/) (2025)
- [RAP: 3D Rasterization Augmented End-to-End Planning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.04333/) (2025)
- [Can Vehicle Motion Planning Generalize to Realistic Long-tail Scenarios?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.07569/) (2024)
- [InterSim: Interactive Traffic Simulation via Explicit Relation Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.14413/) (2022)
- [Generalizing Motion Planners with Mixture of Experts for Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.15774/) (2024)
- [Data Scaling Laws for End-to-End Autonomous Driving](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2504.04338/) (2025)
- [CharBench: Evaluating the Role of Tokenization in Character-Level Tasks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.02591/) (2025)
- [CVT-Bench: Probing Spatial-State Integrity through Counterfactual Viewpoint Transformations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.21114/) (2026)
- [EuraGovExam: A Multilingual Multimodal Benchmark from Real-World Civil Service Exams](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.27223/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Long-tail scenarios remain a major bottleneck for autonomous driving evaluation, even as datasets grow by orders of magnitude. Existing evaluation pipelines are rarely human-aligned, safety-aware, verifiable, and explainable at the same time: closed-loop metrics often saturate among strong planners, while unstructured human ratings can be noisy without a carefully designed protocol. We formulate planning evaluation as additional-threat detection: given a planner trajectory and an expert reference, does the planner's displacement introduce new unsafe driving behavior? We propose FluidTest, an evaluation pipeline with three components: a pairwise WebUI protocol for reliable human annotation; a taxonomy of 32 semantic threats with evidence-grounded decision graphs; and a three-agent verification system with reflection for precision and auditability. Experiments on the WOD-E2E dataset show that FluidTest produces consistent labels among trained annotators and identifies additional threats in 65% of Poutine trajectories and 51% of RAP trajectories. These results show that state-of-the-art planners can still exhibit substantial safety-relevant failures despite high Rater Feedback Scores (RFS) and low Average Displacement Error (ADE). Additional details, guidance, and code are available at https://fluidtest.web.app.
