# Phys-JEPA: Physics-Informed Latent World Models for Multivariate Time-Series Forecasting

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.16076 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.16076/

## Key facts

- Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Latent predictive world models, one of 11 directions in World models.
- Builds on 21 of its 28 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 15 Jun 2026.

## Placed in

- World models / [Latent predictive world models](https://mlsanity.com/wm/latent-predictive-world-models/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 21 of 21)

- [Bootstrap your own latent: A new approach to self-supervised Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2006.07733/) (2020)
- [Neural Ordinary Differential Equations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.07366/) (2018)
- [Exploring Simple Siamese Representation Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2011.10566/) (2020)
- [Informer: Beyond Efficient Transformer for Long Sequence Time-Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.07436/) (2020)
- [A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.14730/) (2022)
- [Barlow Twins: Self-Supervised Learning via Redundancy Reduction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.03230/) (2021)
- [Autoformer: Decomposition Transformers with Auto-Correlation for Long-Term Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.13008/) (2021)
- [Are Transformers Effective for Time Series Forecasting?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.13504/) (2022)
- [FEDformer: Frequency Enhanced Decomposed Transformer for Long-term Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.12740/) (2022)
- [VICReg: Variance-Invariance-Covariance Regularization for Self-Supervised Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2105.04906/) (2021)
- [Self-Supervised Learning from Images with a Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.08243/) (2023)
- [iTransformer: Inverted Transformers Are Effective for Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.06625/) (2023)
- [Modeling Long- and Short-Term Temporal Patterns with Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1703.07015/) (2017)
- [Hamiltonian Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1906.01563/) (2019)
- [Revisiting Feature Prediction for Learning Visual Representations from Video](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.08471/) (2024)
- [Universal Differential Equations for Scientific Machine Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.04385/) (2020)
- [Latent ODEs for Irregularly-Sampled Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.03907/) (2019)
- [Physics-guided Neural Networks (PGNN): An Application in Lake Temperature Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.11431/) (2017)
- [Physics-Guided Machine Learning for Scientific Discovery: An Application in Simulating Lake Temperature Profiles](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2001.11086/) (2020)
- [T-JEPA: A Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture for Trajectory Similarity Computation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.12913/) (2024)
- [LaT-PFN: A Joint Embedding Predictive Architecture for In-context Time-series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.10093/) (2024)

## Built on by (most cited first, 4 of 4)

- [JEPA-x: Cross-Predictive Physics Grounding for Forecastable Latent Dynamics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.24044/) (2026)
- [Energy-Structured Latent World Models with Neural Time Fields for Physically Constistent Open-World Motion Planning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2608.09876/) (2026)
- [Pythia: Toward Foundation World Models for Multimodal Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.05240/) (2026)
- [BeliefGraph-JEPA: Structured Latent World Models for Action-Conditioned Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.05409/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Multivariate forecasting in physical systems requires models that predict coupled temporal variables while preserving meaningful state evolution. Deep forecasters can fit temporal correlations, and physics-informed models can regularize predictions with scientific constraints, but these directions are often connected only at the decoded-output level. As a result, the hidden predictive state that generates future trajectories may remain statistically useful but physically unstructured. We introduce Phys-JEPA, a physics-informed joint-embedding predictive architecture for multivariate time-series forecasting. Phys-JEPA learns a latent world model in which predictive states are decomposed into physical and residual components, and physical consistency is imposed directly on latent states and latent transitions rather than only on decoded forecasts. This formulation uses known physical variables to organize the representation space while retaining residual capacity for unresolved dynamics. On Jena Climate 2009--2016, Phys-JEPA reduces aggregate MSE from 0.12482 to 0.12273 and temperature MSE from 0.01892 to 0.01831 at H=24. On Traffic, full Phys-JEPA improves aggregate MSE over the supervised baseline across all tested horizons, reducing H=192 MSE from 0.800784 to 0.773873. On Electricity, the best variant depends on horizon: static latent consistency is strongest at H=24 and H=48, while full Phys-JEPA gives the best aggregate and target-variable MSE at H=192. These initial results suggest that moving physics-informed learning from output space to latent predictive state space is a promising direction for interpretable temporal world models.
