# Leveraging Physiological Signals to Predict Exam Outcomes with Machine Learning

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.14960 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.14960/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 10 of its 56 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 12 Jun 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 10 of 10)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [Learning Phrase Representations using RNN Encoder-Decoder for Statistical Machine Translation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1406.1078/) (2014)
- [Empirical Evaluation of Gated Recurrent Neural Networks on Sequence Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.3555/) (2014)
- [Transformers in Time Series: A Survey](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.07125/) (2022)
- [Non-stationary Transformers: Exploring the Stationarity in Time Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.14415/) (2022)
- [Transformers in Time-series Analysis: A Tutorial](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.01138/) (2022)
- [Decoder-Only or Encoder-Decoder? Interpreting Language Model as a Regularized Encoder-Decoder](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.04052/) (2023)
- [A Comprehensive Overview and Comparative Analysis on Deep Learning Models: CNN, RNN, LSTM, GRU](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.17473/) (2023)
- [Is Encoder-Decoder Redundant for Neural Machine Translation?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.11807/) (2022)
- [Transformers for scientific data: a pedagogical review for astronomers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.12069/) (2023)

## Abstract (arXiv)

This study investigates the application of machine learning models to predict exam outcomes using physiological data collected during examination sessions. Physiological stress indicators, including electrodermal activity, heart rate, and skin temperature, were analyzed to uncover their association with academic performance. A variety of machine learning approaches were employed, ranging from standard models like logistic regression, random forest, and support vector machines to more advanced architectures, including transformers, long short-term memory (LSTM), and gated recurrent unit (GRU) models. This diversity aimed to capture the complex interactions within the data effectively. A key focus was assessing the adaptability of transformers in processing numerical data and evaluating their performance in this novel context. Standard performance metrics, such as accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score, were used to compare model efficacy. The experimental results demonstrate that while deep learning models generally excel at capturing complex relationships in physiological data, simpler models like random forests can sometimes achieve superior performance while offering computational efficiency and interpretability. Furthermore, transformers demonstrated notable versatility, showcasing performances comparable to those of the LSTM and GRU models. This research underscores the importance of experimenting with a broad class of models that align with the objectives of the problem at hand, balancing precision, efficiency, and interpretability. By elucidating the relationships between physiological signals and academic performance, this study contributes to understanding stressors affecting students' mental health. It further promotes leveraging physiological data to enhance student well-being and academic outcomes.