# Correcting Variable Importance Scored by Random Forests

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.10770 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.10770/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 7 of its 31 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 9 Jun 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 7 of 7)

- [A Unified Approach to Interpreting Model Predictions](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.07874/) (2017)
- [XGBoost: A Scalable Tree Boosting System](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1603.02754/) (2016)
- ["Why Should I Trust You?": Explaining the Predictions of Any Classifier](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1602.04938/) (2016)
- [Learning Important Features Through Propagating Activation Differences](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1704.02685/) (2017)
- [Cost-sensitive Selection of Variables by Ensemble of Model Sequences](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1901.00456/) (2019)
- [Learning over inherently distributed data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.13208/) (2019)
- [A Computational Approach to Improving Fairness in K-means Clustering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.22984/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Variable importance produced by Random Forests (RF) is used widely in statistical data analysis, and has played an important role in a variety of tasks such as assisting model interpretation, model selection and diagnosis, and cost-bounded learning etc. However, the calculation of variable importance in RF does not take into account of the correlations among variables, and variables that are correlated to many other variables tend to receive a lower importance index or being completely masked (i.e., with an importance index near zero) by other strongly correlated variables. To prevent influence from unwanted correlated variables in calculating variable importance, we propose to group variables by their conditional correlations (conditional on the response variable). We explore two computationally efficient options, with one grouping variables individually, and then separates the variable of interest from all correlated variables, while the other uses clustering to group variables according to their pair-wise conditional correlations. Our experiments show that both lead to sensible corrections to the importance of variables.
