# MoE Enhanced Federated Learning for Spatiotemporal Prediction

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.10499 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.10499/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in MoE for time series and graphs, one of 12 directions in Mixture-of-experts.
- Builds on 10 of its 25 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 9 Jun 2026.

## Placed in

- Mixture-of-experts / [MoE for time series and graphs](https://mlsanity.com/moe/moe-for-time-series-and-graphs/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 10 of 10)

- [Semi-Supervised Classification with Graph Convolutional Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1609.02907/) (2016)
- [Graph Attention Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.10903/) (2017)
- [Empirical Evaluation of Gated Recurrent Neural Networks on Sequence Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1412.3555/) (2014)
- [Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Networks: A Deep Learning Framework for Traffic Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1709.04875/) (2017)
- [LargeST: A Benchmark Dataset for Large-Scale Traffic Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.08259/) (2023)
- [Cross-Node Federated Graph Neural Network for Spatio-Temporal Data Modeling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2106.05223/) (2021)
- [Spatio-Temporal Graph Few-Shot Learning with Cross-City Knowledge Transfer](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.13947/) (2022)
- [Domain Adversarial Spatial-Temporal Network: A Transferable Framework for Short-term Traffic Forecasting across Cities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.03630/) (2022)
- [Spatiotemporal-aware Trend-Seasonality Decomposition Network for Traffic Flow Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.12213/) (2025)
- [Prompt-Based Spatio-Temporal Graph Transfer Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.12452/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Traffic prediction is fundamental to intelligent transportation systems and urban computing, yet many cities continue to suffer from traffic data scarcity due to limited sensor deployment and uneven urban development. Cross-city knowledge transfer has thus attracted increasing attention, enabling data-rich cities to assist data-scarce ones. However, centralized approaches raise privacy concerns, while existing federated methods struggle with pronounced spatiotemporal heterogeneity across cities. To address these challenges, we propose MoE-FedTP, a personalized federated cross-city spatiotemporal prediction framework based on lightweight Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) networks. MoE-FedTP first employs spatiotemporal neural networks to extract features from both source and target cities, then introduces a set of expert networks derived from different source cities through partial parameter sharing. A gating mechanism dynamically fuses the experts to capture diverse traffic dynamics, achieving fine-grained modeling of urban heterogeneity while preserving privacy. Experiments on four real-world traffic datasets show that MoE-FedTP consistently outperforms state-of-the-art cross-city and federated learning baselines, demonstrating its effectiveness in enhancing prediction accuracy for data-scarce cities.
