# Correct Looks Better: Pairwise Comparisons Reveal Accuracy Rankings

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.09409 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.09409/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 20 of its 28 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 8 Jun 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 20 of 20)

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- [Chatbot Arena: An Open Platform for Evaluating LLMs by Human Preference](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.04132/) (2024)
- [From Crowdsourced Data to High-Quality Benchmarks: Arena-Hard and BenchBuilder Pipeline](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.11939/) (2024)
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- [Self-Preference Bias in LLM-as-a-Judge](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.21819/) (2024)
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- [Which of These Best Describes Multiple Choice Evaluation with LLMs? A) Forced B) Flawed C) Fixable D) All of the Above](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.14127/) (2025)
- [Answer Matching Outperforms Multiple Choice for Language Model Evaluation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.02856/) (2025)
- [Do These LLM Benchmarks Agree? Fixing Benchmark Evaluation with BenchBench](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.13696/) (2024)
- [Do Question Answering Modeling Improvements Hold Across Benchmarks?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2102.01065/) (2021)
- [The Validity of Evaluation Results: Assessing Concurrence Across Compositionality Benchmarks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.17514/) (2023)
- [Train-before-Test Harmonizes Language Model Rankings](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.05195/) (2025)
- [ElicitationGPT: Text Elicitation Mechanisms via Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.09363/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Pairwise comparisons combined with aggregation methods like Elo have become central to evaluating generative models, yet concerns remain that they reward superficial stylistic cues or display judge biases. In a more positive turn, we show that model rankings from pairwise comparisons strongly agree with ground-truth-based accuracy rankings when such ground truth is available for comparison. By converting five well-known benchmarks into free-form generative evaluations, we find that Elo rankings achieve a Spearman correlation above 0.9 with accuracy rankings and substantially outperform direct evaluation when the judge is weak. Furthermore, style and judge bias have only minor effects on model rankings, despite most judgments occurring on pairs where both candidate answers are correct (or incorrect). On such pairs, we find that repetition after the final answer (echo) is a causal driver of judge preference.
