# Pre-Intervention Prediction of Sparse Autoencoder Steering Side Effects

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.08365 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.08365/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in SAE features and their applications, one of 13 directions in Mechanistic interpretability.
- Builds on 17 of its 21 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 6 Jun 2026.

## Placed in

- Mechanistic interpretability / [SAE features and their applications](https://mlsanity.com/mechinterp/sae-features-and-their-applications/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 17 of 17)

- [The Llama 3 Herd of Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.21783/) (2024)
- [Locating and Editing Factual Associations in GPT](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.05262/) (2022)
- [Pythia: A Suite for Analyzing Large Language Models Across Training and Scaling](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.01373/) (2023)
- [Sparse Autoencoders Find Highly Interpretable Features in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2309.08600/) (2023)
- [Representation Engineering: A Top-Down Approach to AI Transparency](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.01405/) (2023)
- [Steering Llama 2 via Contrastive Activation Addition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2312.06681/) (2023)
- [Toy Models of Superposition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2209.10652/) (2022)
- [Steering Language Models With Activation Engineering](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.10248/) (2023)
- [Gemma: Open Models Based on Gemini Research and Technology](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.08295/) (2024)
- [Scaling and evaluating sparse autoencoders](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.04093/) (2024)
- [Gemma Scope: Open Sparse Autoencoders Everywhere All At Once on Gemma 2](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2408.05147/) (2024)
- [Jumping Ahead: Improving Reconstruction Fidelity with JumpReLU Sparse Autoencoders](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.14435/) (2024)
- [Scaling Monosemanticity: Extracting Interpretable Features from Claude 3 Sonnet](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.29358/) (2026)
- [Llama Scope: Extracting Millions of Features from Llama-3.1-8B with Sparse Autoencoders](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.20526/) (2024)
- [Steering Language Model Refusal with Sparse Autoencoders](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.11296/) (2024)
- [SAEs Are Good for Steering -- If You Select the Right Features](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.20063/) (2025)
- [Decomposing The Dark Matter of Sparse Autoencoders](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.14670/) (2024)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Sparse autoencoder (SAE) features are increasingly used to steer language models, but feature steering is rarely clean: the same intervention can behave inconsistently across contexts and perturb unrelated features. We introduce a pre-intervention screening framework for forecasting SAE steering side effects from feature statistics computed before steering. We operationalize side effects along two axes of steering modularity, effect stability and collateral spread, and evaluate GPT-2-small, Pythia-70M-deduped, Gemma-2-2B, and Llama-3.1-8B across ReLU, JumpReLU, and TopK SAE dictionaries. Across these settings, decoder geometry, activation statistics, co-activation structure, and direct-logit footprint predict steering modularity better than frequency-only and activation-magnitude baselines. The signal is strongest in GPT-2-small, Pythia-70M, and Llama-3.1-8B, where it survives residualization against magnitude-related confounds, and weaker in Gemma-2-2B. Held-out screening shows that ranking unseen features by predicted cleanliness can select features that steer more cleanly on fresh contexts, but the successful axis varies by setting: GPT-2 improves most cleanly, Pythia improves mainly on stability, Llama mainly on collateral, and Gemma only partially. A controlled Llama Scope width comparison shows that the predictive signal persists under a 32K-to-128K dictionary-width change, although the screening payoff becomes less stable. Overall, SAE steering side effects are predictable in advance, but the useful predictor signature and transferred modularity axis are model- and dictionary-setting dependent.