# FORGE: Multi-Agent Graduated Exploitation and Detection Engineering

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.03453 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.03453/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Placed in Agent threats, guardrails and governance, one of 16 directions in LLM agents and tool use.
- Builds on 20 of its 34 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 2 Jun 2026.

## Placed in

- LLM agents and tool use / [Agent threats, guardrails and governance](https://mlsanity.com/agents/agent-threats-guardrails-and-governance/)

## Builds on (most cited first, 20 of 20)

- [ReAct: Synergizing Reasoning and Acting in Language Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.03629/) (2022)
- [LLM Agents can Autonomously Exploit One-day Vulnerabilities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.08144/) (2024)
- [CVE-Bench: A Benchmark for AI Agents' Ability to Exploit Real-World Web Application Vulnerabilities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2503.17332/) (2025)
- [Teams of LLM Agents can Exploit Zero-Day Vulnerabilities](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2406.01637/) (2024)
- [From CVE Entries to Verifiable Exploits: An Automated Multi-Agent Framework for Reproducing CVEs](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.01835/) (2025)
- [PoCGen: Generating Proof-of-Concept Exploits for Vulnerabilities in Npm Packages](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.04962/) (2025)
- [CVE-Factory: Scaling Expert-Level Agentic Tasks for Code Security Vulnerability](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.03012/) (2026)
- [You Cannot Escape Me: Detecting Evasions of SIEM Rules in Enterprise Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.10197/) (2023)
- [Enhancing Vulnerability Prioritization: Data-Driven Exploit Predictions with Community-Driven Insights](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.14172/) (2023)
- [FALCON: Transforming Cyber Threat Intelligence into Deployable IDS Rules with Self-Reflection](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.18684/) (2025)
- [LLM Agents for Automated Web Vulnerability Reproduction: Are We There Yet?](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.14700/) (2025)
- [ZeroDayBench: Evaluating LLM Agents on Unseen Zero-Day Vulnerabilities for Cyberdefense](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2603.02297/) (2026)
- [A Systematic Literature Review on Automated Exploit and Security Test Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.04953/) (2025)
- [Conflicting Scores, Confusing Signals: An Empirical Study of Vulnerability Scoring Systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.13644/) (2025)
- [Prompting the Priorities: A First Look at Evaluating LLMs for Vulnerability Triage and Prioritization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.18508/) (2025)
- [Execution-State-Aware LLM Reasoning for Automated Proof-of-Vulnerability Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2602.13574/) (2026)
- [RuleGenie: SIEM Detection Rule Set Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2505.06701/) (2025)
- [Contextualizing Sink Knowledge for Java Vulnerability Discovery](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.01645/) (2026)
- [Efficacy of EPSS in High Severity CVEs found in KEV](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.02618/) (2024)
- [Simulating Cyberattacks through a Breach Attack Simulation (BAS) Platform empowered by Security Chaos Engineering (SCE)](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2508.03882/) (2025)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Vulnerability disclosure volumes now far exceed organizational assessment capacity, yet three adjacent research communities (proof-of-concept generation, vulnerability prioritization, and detection rule engineering) operate largely in isolation. Existing automated exploit generation systems report binary pass/fail outcomes, discarding partial progress and producing no signal for the other two communities. This paper presents FORGE, a multi-agent system that bridges these three silos through graduated exploitation depth. Five specialized agents (Intel, Generator, Planner, Exploit, and Detector) execute in a fixed pipeline that (1) generates targeted vulnerable applications from CVE metadata, (2) conducts coached, multi-turn exploitation assessed by an LLM-primary oracle on a four-level taxonomy (L0: no evidence through L3: full compromise), and (3) produces Sigma and Snort detection rules grounded in OpenTelemetry exploitation traces. Graduated depth is the bridging mechanism: deeper exploitation yields richer behavioral traces for detection engineering, while depth data across scoring bands provides ground truth for prioritization validation. A tiered knowledge architecture accumulates intelligence across assessments, transferring build and exploitation experience to subsequent CVEs. Evaluation on 603 CVEs from the CVE-GENIE dataset achieves 67.8% end-to-end L1+ exploitation at USD 1.50 per CVE across eight languages and 187 CWE types. Exploitation rates remain near 68% regardless of EPSS or CVSS band, indicating that pattern-level reachability is orthogonal to metadata-based prioritization. Detection rules from L2+ exploitation achieve significantly higher span-normalized grounding than L1-derived rules (p=0.035), and 93.4% of generated Snort rules produce zero false positives against a synthetic benign corpus.
