# Samudra 2: Scaling Ocean Emulators across Resolutions

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.02610 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.02610/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 26 of its 53 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 24 May 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 26 of 26)

- [U-Net: Convolutional Networks for Biomedical Image Segmentation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1505.04597/) (2015)
- [Batch Normalization: Accelerating Deep Network Training by Reducing Internal Covariate Shift](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1502.03167/) (2015)
- [SGDR: Stochastic Gradient Descent with Warm Restarts](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1608.03983/) (2016)
- [A ConvNet for the 2020s](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.03545/) (2022)
- [Wide Residual Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1605.07146/) (2016)
- [Multi-Task Learning Using Uncertainty to Weigh Losses for Scene Geometry and Semantics](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1705.07115/) (2017)
- [On the Spectral Bias of Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1806.08734/) (2018)
- [Mastering Diverse Domains through World Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2301.04104/) (2023)
- [Instance Normalization: The Missing Ingredient for Fast Stylization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1607.08022/) (2016)
- [GradNorm: Gradient Normalization for Adaptive Loss Balancing in Deep Multitask Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1711.02257/) (2017)
- [Skillful Precipitation Nowcasting using Deep Generative Models of Radar](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2104.00954/) (2021)
- [Deep multi-scale video prediction beyond mean square error](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1511.05440/) (2015)
- [Neural General Circulation Models for Weather and Climate](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.07222/) (2023)
- [WeatherBench 2: A benchmark for the next generation of data-driven global weather models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2308.15560/) (2023)
- [Forecasting Global Weather with Graph Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2202.07575/) (2022)
- [FourCastNet 3: A geometric approach to probabilistic machine-learning weather forecasting at scale](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2507.12144/) (2025)
- [ACE: A fast, skillful learned global atmospheric model for climate prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.02074/) (2023)
- [ACE2: Accurately learning subseasonal to decadal atmospheric variability and forced responses](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2411.11268/) (2024)
- [A posteriori learning for quasi-geostrophic turbulence parametrization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2204.03911/) (2022)
- [Challenges of learning multi-scale dynamics with AI weather models: Implications for stability and one solution](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2304.07029/) (2023)
- [Samudra: An AI Global Ocean Emulator for Climate](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.03795/) (2024)
- [SamudrACE: Fast and Accurate Coupled Climate Modeling with 3D Ocean and Atmosphere Emulators](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2509.12490/) (2025)
- [Data-driven Global Ocean Modeling for Seasonal to Decadal Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2405.15412/) (2024)
- [Exploring the design space of deep-learning-based weather forecasting systems](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.07472/) (2024)
- [The Recipe Matters More Than the Kitchen:Mathematical Foundations of the AI Weather Prediction Pipeline](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.01215/) (2026)
- [On the choice of training data for machine learning of geostrophic mesoscale turbulence](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.00734/) (2023)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Artificial intelligence pathways from weather to climate](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2610.09770/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Ocean general circulation models (OGCMs) are essential to climate science but computationally expensive, limiting ensemble size and forcing scenarios. Neural emulators promise orders-of-magnitude speedups, yet existing ocean emulators have not combined fine spatial resolution with multi-year autoregressive rollouts. Samudra, the first autoregressive neural ocean emulator to produce multi-decade global rollouts, is limited to 1^circ resolution and exhibits two long-horizon failure modes: variance collapse, the loss of temporal variability, and imprinting artifacts, in which velocity patterns leak into deep-ocean fields. We present Samudra 2, which introduces a wider U-Net backbone with modified ConvNeXt-style blocks and a reduced block-internal expansion factor, together with a dynamic loss that reweights output channels according to their prediction errors, strengthening gradients for slow-evolving deep-ocean fields. At 1^circ, Samudra 2 increases upper-ocean global-mean temperature R2 from 0.56 to 0.87 and reduces deep-ocean temperature error by roughly sevenfold. The same architecture scales to 1/2^circ and 1/4^circ over approximately 8-year autoregressive rollouts, recovering mesoscale eddies and sharp western boundary currents. Running on a single GPU, Samudra 2 enables larger ensembles for sea-level projections, ocean heat uptake, and climate variability studies. All artifacts are publicly available: project page, code, checkpoints, documentation.
