# Bayesian Spectral Emotion Transition Discovery from Multi-Annotator Disagreement

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.01906 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.01906/

## Key facts

- Cited by 1 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 11 of its 26 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 1 Jun 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 11 of 11)

- [DailyDialog: A Manually Labelled Multi-turn Dialogue Dataset](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1710.03957/) (2017)
- [MELD: A Multimodal Multi-Party Dataset for Emotion Recognition in Conversations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1810.02508/) (2018)
- [DialogueRNN: An Attentive RNN for Emotion Detection in Conversations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1811.00405/) (2018)
- [Toward a Perspectivist Turn in Ground Truthing for Predictive Computing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2109.04270/) (2021)
- [EmotionLines: An Emotion Corpus of Multi-Party Conversations](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1802.08379/) (2018)
- [Revisiting Multimodal Emotion Recognition in Conversation from the Perspective of Graph Spectrum](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2404.17862/) (2024)
- [Knowledge-Bridged Causal Interaction Network for Causal Emotion Entailment](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2212.02995/) (2022)
- [LeWiDi-2025 at NLPerspectives: Third Edition of the Learning with Disagreements Shared Task](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2510.08460/) (2025)
- [Tracing Intricate Cues in Dialogue: Joint Graph Structure and Sentiment Dynamics for Multimodal Emotion Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.21536/) (2024)
- [EmotionIC: emotional inertia and contagion-driven dependency modeling for emotion recognition in conversation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2303.11117/) (2023)
- [LLMs Capture Emotion Labels, Not Emotion Uncertainty: Distributional Analysis and Calibration of Human-LLM Judgment Gaps](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2604.27345/) (2026)

## Built on by (most cited first, 1 of 1)

- [Interpretable Uncertainty Routing Separating Emotion Ambiguity from Distribution Shift in Facial Expression Recognition](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2606.22725/) (2026)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Emotions evolve through the dynamics of conversation, and understanding their transition structure is foundational to applications ranging from mental-health screening to dialogue systems. However, existing studies typically compress multi-rater judgments into a single hard label by majority voting, discarding the uncertainty signal needed to understand turn-to-turn transitions. In this article, we propose Bayesian Spectral Emotion Transition Discovery (BSETD), a two-stage framework that discovers emotion-transition structure from multi-rater soft labels. In the first stage, a hierarchical Dirichlet-Multinomial posterior is constructed through the outer product of soft labels, equipping each cell of the K x K transition matrix with a credible interval and Benjamini-Hochberg (BH) false discovery rate (FDR)-controlled significance. In the second stage, the symmetrized graph Laplacian is spectrally decomposed to separate a low-frequency (inertia) component from a high-frequency (contagion) component. On EmotionLines, BSETD simultaneously recovers the signatures of two distinct affective spaces: the Plutchik-adjacent transitions disgust to anger (log2 lift +0.94) and anger to disgust (+0.86) are over-represented, while the Russell-valence-reversed transitions joy to anger (-0.90) and anger to joy (-0.89) are under-represented. A five-source cross-corpus validation yields pairwise Pearson correlations in 0.91-0.98 within English, 0.79-0.85 against Chinese M3ED, and 0.979 between the human hard labels and the LLM virtual soft labels on the same utterance set, demonstrating that a pipeline preserving annotator uncertainty bridges the computational study of emotion dynamics with established psychological theory.
