# Conformal Reliability: A New Evaluation Metric for Conditional Generation

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.30807 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.30807/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 26 of its 41 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 29 May 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 26 of 26)

- [Learning Transferable Visual Models From Natural Language Supervision](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2103.00020/) (2021)
- [High-Resolution Image Synthesis with Latent Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2112.10752/) (2021)
- [Microsoft COCO: Common Objects in Context](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1405.0312/) (2014)
- [BLIP: Bootstrapping Language-Image Pre-training for Unified Vision-Language Understanding and Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2201.12086/) (2022)
- [Scaling Rectified Flow Transformers for High-Resolution Image Synthesis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.03206/) (2024)
- [Generative Adversarial Text to Image Synthesis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1605.05396/) (2016)
- [A Survey of Uncertainty in Deep Neural Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2107.03342/) (2021)
- [GIT: A Generative Image-to-text Transformer for Vision and Language](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2205.14100/) (2022)
- [Variational Autoencoders and Nonlinear ICA: A Unifying Framework](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1907.04809/) (2019)
- [Holistic Evaluation of Text-To-Image Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.04287/) (2023)
- [Conformal Prediction With Conditional Guarantees](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2305.12616/) (2023)
- [Mini-batch Stochastic Approximation Methods for Nonconvex Stochastic Composite Optimization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1308.6594/) (2013)
- [A Survey on Uncertainty Quantification Methods for Deep Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2302.13425/) (2023)
- [Accelerated Gradient Methods for Nonconvex Nonlinear and Stochastic Programming](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1310.3787/) (2013)
- [On the Generalization Properties of Diffusion Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2311.01797/) (2023)
- [Convergence Rate of Frank-Wolfe for Non-Convex Objectives](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1607.00345/) (2016)
- [Calibrated Multiple-Output Quantile Regression with Representation Learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2110.00816/) (2021)
- [Probabilistic Conformal Prediction Using Conditional Random Samples](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2206.06584/) (2022)
- [Conformal prediction for multi-dimensional time series by ellipsoidal sets](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.03850/) (2024)
- [Probabilistic Conformal Prediction with Approximate Conditional Validity](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2407.01794/) (2024)
- [Generative chemistry: drug discovery with deep learning generative models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2008.09000/) (2020)
- [Evaluation Metrics for Conditional Image Generation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2004.12361/) (2020)
- [Rectifying Conformity Scores for Better Conditional Coverage](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.16336/) (2025)
- [Scendi Score: Prompt-Aware Diversity Evaluation via Schur Complement of CLIP Embeddings](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2412.18645/) (2024)
- [Prediction Sets for High-Dimensional Mixture of Experts Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.16710/) (2022)
- [Exact and Approximate Conformal Inference for Multi-Output Regression](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2210.17405/) (2022)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Conditional generative models have recently achieved remarkable success in various applications. However, a suitable metric for evaluating the reliability of these models, which takes into account their inherent uncertainty, is still lacking. Existing metrics, which typically assess a single output, may fail to capture the variability or potential risks in generation. In this paper, we propose a novel evaluation metric called reliability score based on conformal prediction, which measures the worst-case performance within the prediction set at a pre-specified confidence level. However, computing this score is challenging due to the high-dimensional nature of the output space and the nonconvexity of both the metric function and the prediction set. To efficiently compute this score, we introduce Conformal ReLiability (CReL), a framework that can (i) construct the prediction set with desired coverage; and (ii) accurately optimize the reliability score within the constructed prediction set. We provide theoretical results on coverage and demonstrate empirically that our method produces more informative prediction sets than existing approaches. Experiments on synthetic data and the image-to-text and text-to-image tasks further demonstrate the interpretability of our new metric, and the validity and effectiveness of our computational framework. Source code can be found at https://ggc29.github.io/CReL/.
