# BatteryMFormer: Multi-level Learning for Battery Degradation Trajectory Forecasting

arXiv: https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.27044 · HTML: https://mlsanity.com/paper/2605.27044/

## Key facts

- No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026).
- Builds on 15 of its 56 references that are in the map.
- First posted on arXiv 26 May 2026.

## Builds on (most cited first, 15 of 15)

- [Attention Is All You Need](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1706.03762/) (2017)
- [Layer Normalization](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1607.06450/) (2016)
- [Gaussian Error Linear Units (GELUs)](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1606.08415/) (2016)
- [Informer: Beyond Efficient Transformer for Long Sequence Time-Series Forecasting](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2012.07436/) (2020)
- [A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2211.14730/) (2022)
- [Qwen3 Embedding: Advancing Text Embedding and Reranking Through Foundation Models](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2506.05176/) (2025)
- [Memory Networks](https://mlsanity.com/paper/1410.3916/) (2014)
- [TimeMixer++: A General Time Series Pattern Machine for Universal Predictive Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2410.16032/) (2024)
- [Warpformer: A Multi-scale Modeling Approach for Irregular Clinical Time Series](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2306.09368/) (2023)
- [ConvTimeNet: A Deep Hierarchical Fully Convolutional Model for Multivariate Time Series Analysis](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2403.01493/) (2024)
- [Predicting the impact of formation protocols on battery lifetime immediately after manufacturing](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2203.14158/) (2022)
- [BatteryML:An Open-source platform for Machine Learning on Battery Degradation](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2310.14714/) (2023)
- [Predicting Battery Lifetime Under Varying Usage Conditions from Early Aging Data](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2307.08382/) (2023)
- [BatteryLife: A Comprehensive Dataset and Benchmark for Battery Life Prediction](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2502.18807/) (2025)
- [Forecasting battery capacity and power degradation with multi-task learning](https://mlsanity.com/paper/2111.14937/) (2021)

## Abstract (arXiv)

Early battery degradation trajectory forecasting (BDTF), which predicts the full-life state-of-health trajectory from early operational data, is critical for battery optimization, manufacturing, and deployment. Battery degradation data exhibit two key characteristics. First, degradation data present a multi-level structure, including regularities shared within aging conditions and trajectory patterns shared across batteries. Second, degradation-related variations in voltage-current profiles are often localized to specific state of charge (SOC) intervals. Existing approaches often fail to explicitly model these characteristics. To bridge this gap, we propose BatteryMFormer, a multi-level Transformer for early BDTF. BatteryMFormer integrates (1) an aging-condition-aware decoder that injects aging-condition priors via aging-condition-informed queries and aging-condition-aware attention, (2) a meta degradation pattern memory that learns and retrieves trajectory prototypes to guide long-horizon forecasting, and (3) a dual-view encoder that jointly captures temporal dynamics and SOC-localized variations from voltage and current time series. Extensive experiments on four battery domains show that BatteryMFormer consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, marking a significant step toward reliable BDTF. Our code is available at https://github.com/Ruifeng-Tan/BatteryMFormer.
